Just a word of warning, today on the live Cheltenham blog is going to be ‘shameless-plug-tastic’ because I have a lot of shameless plugs to get through this Thursday. In between these shameless plugs however, I’ll be bringing you all the latest news, views and jockeys and trainers saying exactly what you’d expect them to say about their own runners. Today I’m setting up the usual ‘Hell Of A Horse Count’ but also a ‘Mildly Patronising National Stereotype Count’ for the day that’s in it.
If you, like me, think you’re ‘down with it’ enough to have a twitter account, you can follow me at @AidanWaffles_PP or if you want to share your tips, anger or – as we saw yesterday – surprisingly good jokes, then the comments section is also available for comment.
Happy punting agus lá fhéile Pádraig sona daoibh
5.27pm: That’s about it from me for another day. We never did get to the bottom of the Martin Pipe overcoat mystery, but I’ve been told Scooby and the Mystery Machine are en route to solve the crime. If they don’t get too smashed celebrating Paddy’s Day in Cheltenham – you pesky kids!!
The Hell Of A Horse count and the ‘mildly condescending national stereotype’ count were both disappointingly low, but that had more to do with the Irish challenge coming crashing down to earth than anything else. It’s all nicely poised for a fantastic final day, so get a good night’s sleep and recharge the batteries for tomorrow.
Good night and good luck.
5.20pm: You wouldn’t have guessed she was an amatuer because Lorna Fowler guides the heavily backed favourite, Plato to victory with some style.
1st Plato 6/4F
2nd Nemo Spirit
3rd Super Collider
5.15pm: The Charity Race is off … and quite possibly so are some of the jockeys.
5.12pm: It’s a really worthy cause and I don’t want to be too harsh, but some of the jockeys for the Charity Race look like they’re about to fall off on the walk down to the start.
4.46pm: I wouldn’t touch a bet in the Charity Race with Lady GaGa’s nose, but it’s a very lively betting heat. Plato – ridden by Lorna Folwer – is now 13/8 after being 11/4 earlier today. Fool’s Wildcat – the mount of Jamie Insole (he’s got big shoes to fill – wah, wah, waaaaaahhhhh) is now 10/1 after being 6/1 and Silent Jo – ridden by @RachelWyse has been backed into 12/1 from 16/1.
4.50pm: Junior has wiped the smile well and truly off the bookies’ faces by stroming to a comprehensive victory in the Kim Muir. It’s another win for David Pipe and that missing overcoat doesn’t matter too much now, does it?
1st Junior 10/3F
3rd Deal Done
4th Galaxy Rock
4.48pm: Did yer man just call the horse ‘kinky’?
4.40pm: They’re away in the Kim Muir …
4.25pm: It’s back to Racing UK for the last couple at Cheltenham. Or you can use our Bet & Watch service … €/£1 minimum bet … yadda yadda … hooray for betting … Paddy Power for President … always be selling …
4.20pm: Kim Muir Chase Preview I haven’t previewed the Kim Muir yet, mainly because it’s the toughest race on the today’s card and I was hoping it would disappear or something. I like the sound of Dance Island, but only because it sounds like a fun place to live. But then again, on that basis Den Of Iniquity could get the nod – who doesn’t like the odd bit of iniquity now and then? For the day that’s in it, I’m tempted to let blind patriotism take over and go for Pomme Tiepy, but he’s disappointed me in the past. Cornish Sett has a couple of wins at the track to his name, so that’s the pick for me.
4.08pm: That’s a big win for the bookies with Holmwood Legend taking the honours at 25/1. Aimigayle claims second and one slight respite for the punters is the well-backed Beautiful Sound storming up the hill to take third.
1st Holmwood Legend 25/1
3rd Beautiful Sound
4pm: The Byrne Group Plate gets underway …
3.55pm: Aigle D’Or looks set to go off as favourite for the next race, but he’s on the drift. Beautiful Sound has come in for support and his now challenging him at the head of the market. Of the outsiders, I’m A Legend is one to look out for as he’s in to 20/1 from 25/1.
3.50pm: Racing correspondent for the @pppadcast, Emma-Louise Kerwin is going along with my choice of Quartz De Thaix in the Byrne Group Plate. This is purely coincidence as she is a far better tipster than me.
Quartz De Thaix for me in the next #chelt fest.
3.47pm: Big Mac getting upset about a blonde on her knees in front of him #firsttimeforeverything
3.30pm: Sorry this result is going to have to double as a shameless plug.
Big Bucks under Ruby Walsh gives Paddy Power a double kick in the plums. It’s a huge payout on the winner and a big refund on the well backed second favourite, Grands Crus. The champ does it in style to defy concerns about the ground. He goes down in history as one of the best of all time and next the question is will he go on to make it four next year?
1st Big Bucks 10/11F
2nd Grands Crus
3.25pm: Grands Crus moving up nicely.
3.23pm: Normally I only see this many greys when I’m watching something presented by Phillip Schofield. Wah, wah waaaaaaahhhhhhh!
3.20pm: The World Hurdle begins …
Ted gives us another ‘Hell Of A Horse’ – talking about Fiveforthree.
3.10pm: Grands Crus looks like he’s about to doze off he’s so relaxed. He may have been reading this blog.
3.05pm: Big Bucks is now odds on (10/11) for his third World Hurdle with Grands Crus moving in the opposite direction. There’s been support for Mourad who’s 8/1 after being 9/1 earlier.
3pm: Great to see Sir Peter O’Sullevan at Cheltenham. But that overcoat looks familiar …
2.56pm: The word coming from Cheltenham is that guy was actually protesting on behalf of Scatchcards For Justice. Or something like that.
2.47pm: I’m going to have a stab in the dark and say Fathers 4 Justice. Anyway, back to the racing and Albertas Run makes it back to back wins in the Ryanair under AP McCoy.
1st Albertas Run 6/1
2nd Kalahari King
3rd Rubi Light
2.40pm: The Ryanair Chase is underway …
Young kids at a race meeting and Irish dancing plus a chorus of ‘ole, ole, ole’ – the national stereotype meter is off the scale. I’m not blaming Channel 4.
2.18pm: Dave Jones has been on to rub everyone’s nose in it!
Dave Jones says:
March 17, 2011 at 2:14 pm
And there it is folks! Hope you got on it….
Thanks Dave, yes I did. Rub away my friend.
2.15pm: Buena Vista makes all to claim the Pertemps Hurdle Final. A 20/1 winner for the Pipe yard and if Martin had a few quid on him, he should be able to buy a few new coats. And a big shout out to Dave Jones who tipped him in the comments section earlier today. See – not everything on this blog is total gibberish. Just most of it.
1st Buena Vista 20/1 (get in!)
2nd Son Amix
4th Knockara Beau
2.06pm: Buena Vista’s jockey is wearing purple and very, very, very, very, very light blue silks as opposed to purple and normal blue as advertised in the paper. I always fall for that one.
2.05pm: They’re off and running in the Pertemps Hurdle Final …
2.02pm: There’s another game of Cheltenham Katchphrase underway. There’s a Free €/£50 Bet for whoever can solve the visual mystery.
1.57pm: Sivota has drifted in the betting for the Pertemps Hurdle – now 9/1 from 13/2 earlier. Barafundle has been well backed and is now 8/1 and Don’t Push It is 14/1 after being 20/1.
1.51pm: Byrne Group Plate Chase Preview
This is another really tricky race to solve and you can;t even discount the runners who are mainly in it so the owners can get their free passes to the races. The one that stands out for me is Quartz De Thaix. I said yesterday that Venetia Williams normally manages a win at the Festival and I’ll foolishly cling to that belief. He’s got course form and looks well in with the handicapper that’s all the selective evidence I need.
1.36pm: A typical AP MCoy ride lands the spoils for Noble Prince and Paul Nolan to continue the theme of yestereday. Favourite Wishfull Thinking jumped superbly, but didn’t have enough in the tank to get the better of McCoy.
1st Noble Prince 4/1
2nd Wishfull Thinking
3rd Loosen My Load
1.30pm: And Day 3 is underway as the Jewson kicks off …
1.20pm: Wishfull Thinking now 7/2 for the Jewson Novices’ Chase. Noble Prince is 4/1, Robinson Collonges 6/1 and Loosen My Load 6/1. Get your bets on now because the punctual feckers at Cheltenham haven’t been hanging around with getting the races off on time this week!
1.15pm: I think I know where a certain Channel 4 Racing presenter gets her fashion inspiration:
1.10pm: Henry de Bromhead on TV now oozing the smug confidence we saw before Sizing Europe won the Champion Chase yesterday – get on Loosen My Load in the first!!
1.06pm: I think Big Mac is safe – that’s not a jacket too many people will want to steal.
1.01pm: We hired the services of experts and some no so experts to give us their tips for today at Cheltenham.
12.56pm: Did that guy just saying ‘listening to my tranny at school’? That’s what I heard and am chuckling heartily at.
12.32pm: It’s back to Channel 4 and we may have a lead in the Martin Pipe’s missing coat mystery. Simon Holt’s wearing an overcoat – exactly the type of overcoat you’d think a former Champion Trainer would wear. Hmmmm … we’ll crack this case soon.
12.29pm: World Hurdle Preview (and shameless plug)
There’s basically no logical reason to think Big Bucks won’t win the World Hurdle. He’s won it twice already, his preparations have gone well, he’s suited by the ground, he’s the best horse in the race – it’s all stacked in his favour. Yet there have been so many people willing to take him on with others. Most of the time Grands Crus is the one put forward and he’s definitely an improver, but on what we know to date, he’s still a little bit short of the standards set by Big Bucks. There’s a few other interesting outsiders to keep an eye out for, but it looks to between the front two in the market. I think I’m going to go for a reverse forecast to allow for the middling kind of shock that would be a Grand Crus win. If there’s a bigger shock, I’m pretty much screwed.
You know how it works at this stage. Ruby, Money-Back Special, Big Bucks, big favourite, second, money-back..
12.12pm: BREAKING NEWS live from the racecourse …
Make sure you’re sitting down for this one – Martin Pipe has lost his overcoat.
My Dad’s lost his overcoat!! Thankfully a nice, dry day to look forward to…
Amid concerns about safety, Cheltenham Racecourse have issued a warning telling people to be careful when in the vicinity of Martin Pipe’s erect nipples.
12.03pm: Sam Twiston-Davies – looking like he should have an ASBO, sounding like he owns Wicklow – is on Racing UK. He didn’t say anything too ground-breaking, but he did say he’s moved out of the family home. No tips on putting together a household budget sadly.
11.57am: Ryanair Chase Preview (and shameless plug)
We’ve had a few expected non-runners confirm their non-runnerness in the Ryanair Chase. It doesn’t really take away from the race, because it’s still packed with quality. There was a stat flashed up on Racing UK about recent winners of this race having previously won a race at Cheltenham (or something – I can’t remember exactly). True as that might be, it’s not the most useful of stats because nearly half the field have won here before. The claims of Poquelin look pretty water-tight, to the point that I’m considering abandoning my ‘avoid favourites like a free trip to Libya’ policy. Voy Por Ustedes looks like good value, but you’re banking on him being back to something approaching his best and there isn’t much in the way of evidence to say that’s the case. Kalahari King has the potential to upset that stat I didn’t really remember correctly about a previous course win. He’s come close to winning here in the past so the course form isn’t really an issue. Ferdy Murphy already has a winner at the Festival so that’s all the reassurance I need for this all-advised investment.
You know how it works at this stage. Ruby, Money-Back Special, favourite, second, money-back..
11.27am: It’s all happening at the moment. Our first game of <a href="http://oldblog.paddypower.com/2011/03/17/thursday%E2%80%99s-cheltenham-katchphrase-1-%E2%80%93-win-e50-free-bet/" target="_blank" is underway. There’s a Free €/£50 Bet up for grabs. And as a side note, this is my favourite Katchphrase of the week.
There’s some bookmaker who’s not Paddy Power on Racing UK and his monotnous drone is as good as reason as any to look at the Market Movers so far. There’s understandably been money for Tarablaze in the Pertemps Hurdle after Pricewise picked him out of the bunch. He’s now 18/1 from 25/1. In the same race, Grand National winner, Don’t Push It is also a mover – in to 20/1 from 25/1. Hey Big Spender has been trimmed for the Ryanair Chase. He’s gone from a 33/1 hopeless outsider to 25/1 hopeless outsider ; ) We’ve had money for Big Bucks in the World Hurdle. He’s in to Evens from 11/10.
10.57am: Pertemps Final Hurdle Preview (and shameless plug)
This is brilliant. Dave Jones has tipped up Buena Vista in this race and that’s good enough for me. If someone wants to come up with a few tips for the Ryanair, World Hurdle, Byrne Group Plate and the Kim Muir, I can go home and catch the end of the crappy parade.
I also think Buena Vista is a value bet for this race and not just because it makes my job so much easier. This race is wide open and at least we know he handles the course. I’ve seen Don’t Push It being tipped up by a few people. He’s a quality horse, but this is clearly a prep for the defence of his Grand National title and winning this would be a bonus rather than the main target. Chartreux is the obvious choice, but since when has going for the obvious choice been fun? Micheal Flips is also worth keeping an eye on.
This is one of the races covered by our Ruby Thursday Money-Back Special. Ruby’s riding current 2nd favourite, Sivota and if your horse finishes second to him, we’ll refund your losing single stake.
10.45am: Getting in on the tipster action, Dave Jones has be in contact to big up a horse in the Pertemps Hurdle. Or tell us that there’s an anorexic horse running in the race. We’re not sure.
Dave Jones says:
March 17, 2011 at 10:25 am
2.05 Pertemps Final – Buena Vista EW – 20/1
Won this race last year after a mediocre season and is coming here the same way. Good Claimer on board keeping it’s weight down.
10.40am: Tom Scudamore is on Racing UK now and he reveals that – in many ways like John McCririck – Grands Crus doesn’t tend to do much at home, but he really comes alive at the racecourse – “then it’s business time.” That’s all the tenuous link I need to wheel out this:
10.24am: Jewson Preview (and a shameless plug)
Phillip Hobbs was the only native to resist the Irish raiders yesterday and it looks like he’s in charge of maintaining the nation’s pride in the Jewson. He’s got the favourite in the form of Wishfull Thinking and there aren’t too many holes to be picked in his form. He’s got the course form, he’s got the distance form and he’s in form. But I’ve never been a big fan of this logic malarkey so for no reason at all, I suspect he might get beaten. There are a few capable of upsetting him. Noble Prince has a great chance, Mr Gardner could be the one to break Nicky Henderson’s duck at this Festival and the form of Wllie Mullins’ raiders brings Blazing Tempo into the equation.
I’m going for a runner from a stable in form, but not the Mullins’ fold. Loosen My Load could give Henry de Bromhead his third winner of the week and that’s where my 50 cent each way is going.
This is one of the races covered by our Ruby Thursday Money-Back Special. Ruby’s riding current 3rd favourite, Robinson Collonges and if your horse finishes second to him, we’ll refund your losing single bet.
10.11am: I wonder what Simon Claisse would make of this random match from Brazil:
Probably change the going to soft, very squigey in places.
What was the referee thinking? ‘Don’t let the players’ safety get in the way of a potential youtube hit’ presumably.
10.07am: I’ve just noticed Celestial Halo is a non-runner in the World Hurdle. Celestial Hangover more like – wah, wah wah!!
10.02am: Tina Crawford has used the comments section to leave a tip for the Charity Race. I wasn’t planning to preview it, so I’m going to use this as my preview.
tina crawford says:
March 17, 2011 at 9:21 am
Get on alice plunkett in the last
devil to pay
Does Tina know something we don’t or has she merely cracked open the bottle of Baileys a little too early in the day? Only time (or how often she visits the local off license today) will tell.
9.54am: In 140 characters or less, I’ve put Grands Crus up as my logical choice of the day and Voy Por Ustedes as my sentimental choice of the day. I’ve also got my first tepid reassurance of the day, courtesy of Dawn Spooner on twitter.
@AidanWaffles_PP nothing wrong with sentimental choices I’m with voy por too!
Brilliant! Now we sit back and wait for the warm fuzzy storyline to unfold!
9.52am: Simon Claisse, clerk of the course is being interviewed again. He’s got so many weather reports to give to the media, you’d wonder when he gets the time to do the Cheltenham gardening. The going is Good, Good to Soft in places and the sky is grey, kind of white in places.
9.47am: Gordon Elliott is wrestling with Jessie’s Dream on Racing UK. He’s only got one runner today – Beautiful Sound in the Byrne Group Plate – and he’s doing the trainer thing of being quietly confident about his chances.
There were a fews borderline stereotype-y style comments during the Morning Line, but the one that almost snuck under the radar was the crappy music they used for their slow motion montage to end the show. It was Pink and – purely by coincidence I’m sure – the lyrics went:
Won’t you come on and come on and raise your glass,
Just come on and come on and raise your glass
Yeah, we drink too much. Deal with it.
9.20am: The charity tips of the day are in:
Jim McGrath: Gwanako and Don’t Push It Pertemps Hurdle
Andy Stewart: Gwanako Pertemps Hurdle
John Francome: Restless Harry World Hurdle, Billie Magern and Junior Kim Muir Chase.
Ted Walsh: Don’t Push It Pertemps Hurdle and then some scribble I can’t read … it’s a ‘p’ – I literally can’t read my own hand-writing. Maybe it’s Poquelin for the Ryanair Chase
Nick Luck: Chartreux Pertemps Hurdle, Dance Island Kim Muir Chase.
Tanya: Kalahari King Ryanair Chase, Barwell Bridge Pertemps Hurdle.
I’ve got a feeling it’s going to be a good day for the ‘Hell Of A Horse’ count. Ted gets the ball rolling with the our first in describing Chartreux in the Pertemps Hurdle.
9.03am: Paul Nolan (very underrated hair and sideburns combo) is talking to Thommo about Noble Prince who goes in the Jewson Novices’ Chase. Quietly confident is the best way to describe it. Or else quietly uncertain. It was hard to tell.
8.58am: If you ever wanted to know what it likes to look up the home straight at Cheltenham, but didn’t want to risk the potential arrest for trespass, them Mick Fitzgerald has taken a blurry snap on his phone via twitter.
8.52am: The panel discussion about the World Hurdle leads to conclusions about as solid as a soggy trifle. Still none the wiser, but thinking Grands Crus is the value bet.
Ted Walsh is bigging up the Irish horses, so it’s a chance to slip in our first shameless plug of the day. We’re giving money back if your horse finishes second to a Ruby Walsh ridden winner in any of the first four races on Thursday. (He’s riding three favourites and one 3rd favourite in those races)
8.31am: The Morning Line is underway and straight away we’ve got a kind of patronising national stereotype. We’ll let Nick Luck off for the moment because it’s so early.
8.25am: That Nostradamus comparison wasn’t totally right because unlike the famous Frenchman, Pricewise’s selections aren’t dressed up in vague and ambiguous language that could really mean anything you choose it to mean. He kicks Nostradamus ass.
8.20am: Racing Nostradamus, Pricewise has put his selections for the day, They are Loosen My Load in the Jewson Novices’ Chase, Barafundle and Tarablze in the Pertemps Hurdle. He’s already told you to get on Kalahari King for the Ryanair Chase.
8.05am: I’ll be honest, I can’t even pretend that I’m watching Everybody Loves Raymond, but I can tell you that for the third day of the Festival, the going is Good, Good to Soft in places. A bit like what you’d expect from a good cake. The groound is expect to ‘ride quicker’ than the last couple of days – whatever that means.
7.51am: Disaster! It’s a fate worse than Frasier as the lack of traffic because it’s a Bank Holiday means I’m in early enough to catch the end of god-awful tripe, Everybody Loves Raymond. The grumpy older brother is feeling inferior to Raymond for some reason – I’ll bring you more as this story unfolds.