Maybe is the one punters want to back for the Group One Epsom Oaks on Friday but top jumps jock Ruby Walsh thinks she has as much of a chance of winning as Everton boss David Moyes being confirmed as Liverpool’s next manager.
“I don’t think she’ll stay 1m 4f around Epsom, I really don’t,” Walsh told the Paddy Power Blog team’s online betting preview.
Aidan O’Brien’s highly-rated filly was unbeaten until she contested the 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket a little over a fortnight ago but toiled in the soft ground to finish third behind run-away winner and stable-mate Homecoming Queen.
The form of the first English Classic of the season was dented somewhat at the Curragh last Sunday when Homecoming Queen (11/8f) only finished fourth to former England international Mick Channon’s Samitar (12/1) in the Irish 1,000 Guineas.
Aidan O’Brien withdrew stable-mate Kissed on Friday afternoon after tweeting on Wednesday morning that her run was dependant on the going.
Paddy Power punters were on non runner, no bet from 10am Wednesday morning.
And Ruby is now in no doubt who he fancies for the fillies Classic.
“I loved the way that John Gosden’s The Fugue won the Musidora Stakes over the same trip at York the last time. She looked very good that day.”
Last year’s winning jockey Johnny Murtagh is due to ride Vow but Walsh isn’t keen on the filly’s chances of emulating 20-1 shot Dancing Rain’s victory last year.
“I’m not a huge fan of Vow as she looked a ‘right lady’ to me the way she ran at Lingfield the last time. She ran left and right that day and ran away from the whip for Johnny (Murtagh) even though she was a decent enough winner in the end.
“Connections said afterwards that she ran ‘green’ but I don’t buy that – sure she’s been in training for nearly two years, she shouldn’t be running green now.
“Kailani has to improve for Godolphin to lift the prize, but sometimes these filles can do that and improve beyond recognition in the few weeks after the trials to Oaks day.
“For me it’s The Fugue,” Walsh concluded.