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Group B preview: Danes to sink Ronaldo’s Euro dreams

by Sean Goff | June 13, 2012
Cristiano Ronaldo

ON THE BRINK: If Portugal lose to Denmark tonight their Euro 2012 dreams will be over

By Sean Goff

Group B Betting preview: Denmark v Portugal, Wednesday 5pm, ITV1 and RTE2

THE LOWDOWN

Hands up who predicted that Denmark would top Group B heading into the second game? Liars.

But the nation that gave us Caroline Wozniacki (Rory McIlroy’s Mrs) Carslberg and horned helmets, are one win away from the quarter finals after their 1-0 opening victory over Holland.

The Danes have won seven of their last nine games including a 2-1 win against tonight’s opponents in the qualifiers while Portugal’s stock is lower than Facebook at the minute with just one goal scored in a winless 2012.

MATCH BET:

Denmark have the hex over Portugal in tournament football beating them at Euro 2008 and World Cup 2010 and the Portuguese have only scored once goal in their last four games. They meet Denmark for the 13thtime and have won seven, lost two, drawn three.

But word has reached us of POWER PLAY FEVER in the trading room with a PORTUGAL and GERMANY double being enhanced to 5/1 for a limited period.

The Danes have beaten Ronaldo and Co. in three of the last five meetings between the sides in the past five years. Despite the temptation to sit back and defend for a point  the 14/5 on a Denmark win is too big given recent form. 

A CORRECT SCORE STAB IN THE DARK:

There are usually plenty of goals when these two sides meet.

Both are well motivated tonight for very different reasons. The Danes know a place in the quarter-finals awaits them if they win while Portugal will be home before the postcards if they lose.

A 2-1 win for Denmark makes some appeal at 12/1 but Denmark to win by exactly one goal might be the safer option at 9/2.

AN OUTRAGEOUS GOALSCORER BET

Although Portugal’s players couldn’t score in a brothel with the proverbial fistful of tenners at the moment Nani has scored three times in four outings against the Danes.  Given the scarcity of netbusters in the side and their lack of goals overall 10/3 on Nani to score at anytime is worth a punt on his record against Denmark alone. However, the Manchester United winger hasn’t been slow to react to criticism at home.

SOMETHING A BIT RANDOM

Both teams to score looks a solid even-money shot. Won’t make you rich but might just give you a free bet on Germany v Holland in the next game.

Denmark beat Portugal 3-2 at the 2010 World Cup and 2-1 at Euro 2008 and they’ll have no fear taking them on in tournament football again knowing a win will put them through to the knock-out stages.

ROBBIE FOWLER SAYS

Portugal need to win this and I think they will. Ronaldo may get more licence to roam like he does at Real Madrid and Nani missed two good chances against Germany but should make any chances he gets count now.

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