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Group B preview: Pepe heading for the knock-outs

by Josh Powell | June 16, 2012

By Josh Powell | Paddy Power sports writer

Group B betting preview: Portugal v Holland Sunday 7.15

The Lowdown

The Netherlands are all but out and need something very special to reach the quarter-finals. The Dutch have been poor throughout the tournament and will have to beat Portugal by two clear goals and hope Denmark lose if they are to progress.

It’s not impossible but on the back of their opening two performances it’s more than unlikely.

Portugal managed to hold off a determined Danish fight-back to win 3-2 in their last match. Now they only need to better the Danes result to qualify.

Portugal will be confident having won six and drawn three of their last 10 meetings with the Dutch.

Match Bet

Despite being pretty dire for their opening two games Holland go into this match as 6/4 favourites with Paddy Power. The World Cup finalists are still a force to be reckoned with and have the quality to win this tie.

Portugal are 15/8 to win with the draw at 12/5. Portugal look great value as they have a lot more to play for than Holland and the Dutch have been frankly well below par all tournament.

Holland have been shocking defensively and Portugal can take advantage.

A correct score stab in the dark

Both teams conceded twice in their previous games and you can expect more goals in this one.

Over 2.5 goals is slim enough at 4/6 with Paddy Power but Portugal 3-1 looks value at 20/1.  Portugal 1-0 at half-time, 3-1 at full-time is 75/1 if you’re man bits are reasonably large.

A goalscorer bet to look out for

Cristiano Ronaldo has been shocking for Portugal and missing two sitters against Denmark was unforgivable. Therefore the 6/1 on him to score first doesn’t appeal too much.

Rather the 10/1 for Pepe to score anytime or the 25/1 for him to score first is a much better bet. He pinged the woodwork in the opening game against Germany before opening his account against Denmark.

Despite being a thug he’s a big threat from set pieces.

Something a bit random

When these two teams played in the 2006 World Cup there were a record 16 yellow cards and both teams went down to nine men.

It’s 2/1 for there to be a red card in this encounter and 19/1 with Paddy Power for both teams to have a man sent off.

Mark Van Bommel loves to get stuck in and he’s 6/4 to be booked in the match. You can also take 22/1 that the Dutch captain goes for an early bath, but the best value bet might be 10/1 for him to receive the first booking of the game.

Robbie says

I fully expect Holland to beat Portugal and I wouldn’t be surprised if they won 2-0. They’d be a great bet to get through to the quarter-finals.

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