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Euro 2012: England vs Italy match betting preview

by Rob Dore | June 24, 2012
Roy Hodgson

AZZURR’ THING? Hodgson can mastermind a win over Italy

Preview: England v Italy, Sunday 7.45pm RTE2 & BBC1

The lowdown…

England started this tournament without the usual hyperbolic fanfare from their own media and against France they showed us why. However, for all the critics, Roy Hodgson has now gone five games unbeaten since taking charge. He guided England to the top of their group, albeit with the help of an unobservant match official, and there are signs that his team is growing in confidence.

Italy, as always seems to be the case, entered the competition in the wake of a match-fixing scandal in Serie A. It doesn’t seem to have bothered the players who have gone about their business in a typically Italian fashion. Technically sound, defensively minded and unbeaten so far they’ll provide a tough test for any side they face.

A match bet…

The prices on this game tell the story. There’s little to separate the two in the betting with England at 15/8 and Italy at 9/5.

The Three Lions appear to be growing in to the tournament and gaining in self-belief. Even in their opening game when they were dominated by France they showed the necessary resilience to grind out a draw. A draw in 90 minutes at 2/1 would be about as surprising as Sepp Blatter saying something inappropriate before the end of the tournament.

Correct score stab in the dark…

Only the mentally unstable would be expecting to see a goal-fest in this one. A scoreless draw at 5/1 is tempting, but just in case both sides manage to crack the Enigma code of each other’s defence, 1-1 at 5/1 might be the safer option.

A goalscorer bet to look out for…

Wayne Rooney grabbed the only goal on his return to the side last time out, but beyond that he didn’t look good. And only some of that grim assessment is a dig at his ‘hair’. Steven Gerrard has reverted to the role of provider for this England team, but he still packs that bazooka right-foot of his. Stevie G is a whopping 14/1 to score first tonight and a marginally less whopping 6/1 to score in 90 minutes.

Something random…

After going through the group stage games with just one penalty being awarded, we’ve seen a comparative glut of them given in the quarter-finals. After penalties for Greece and Spain in the last two nights, it’s 11/4 that a penalty is awarded for the third game in a row.

Robbie Fowler Says …

From all I’ve seen, I’m tipping England for this one. I’m a big believer in momentum and they’re unbeaten so far in the tournament. I’ve got a sneaking suspicion it might be England going through after extra-time.

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