The Paddy Power Blog gets the lowdown from C4 & RTE racing presenter Tom Lee on the opening day of Glorious Goodwood.
“The draw is all important in this competitive opening to the Glorious Goodwood Festival. Las Verglas Star is taking a step up in class but has the form in the book. Has an ideal draw in stall three and off a mark of 86 can run a big race for Richard Fahey and Paul Hanigan. Danadana is looking for a hat-trick while Cai Shen ran very well the last time out. I don’t think punters will be too far away with Las Verglas Star each-way.”
“Michelangelo from John Gosden’s yard heads the market and has the final English Classic of the season, the Doncaster St Leger as his main aim. He’s a very good starting point in assessing this race. There are four other St Leger entries in this namely, Ed De Gas, Encke, Minimise Risk, and Noble Mission.
“The three to concentrate on in my view are Michelangelo, Noble Mission and Girolamo.
“Frankel’s brother Noble Mission has won a maiden and a Listed race but still has a bit to prove. Up against two very good horses. Michelangelo has to prove he can do it at Group class also but there is clearly more expected of him by the Gosden team.
“The one I find the most interesting is Girolamo who comes across from Germany. German horses have been doing well in the UK. Energiser won at Royal Ascot and Danedream won the King George. He’s the highest rated in the field was second to Pastorious last time out and that won a Group One in Germany at the weekend. He has a very solid chance and looks a cracking bet.”
“Chachamaidee is quality and won at this meeting last year. Gets a small weight allowance against the geldings. She’s not the best at breaking from the stalls and wants good ground and there was 4mm of overnight rain at Goodwood. If she doesn’t get away quick that could open the door for something else like Librano who is a course specialist and trainer Richard Hannon is looking for his third win in five runnings of this contest. Another 4/1 shot who deserves serious respect. A great bet.”
“Murawij looks very good drawn in 8. All about speed. Was fourth in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot. Fiercely competitive with some credible opposition. Hototo won the Windsor Castle Stakes and wants good ground.
“Was sixth in the Super Sprint at Newbury on ground he hated. The good ground should bring out the best in him. Represents a bit of value each-way.”
There’s a Paddy Power Money-back Special if your horse finished 2nd to Murawij in this race (T&C’s apply)
“This is a very tricky contest with 17 runners going to post. On paper it looks a contest Looks between Garswood and Huntsman Close. The latter is trained by Michael Bell and ridden by Jamie Spencer.
“Bold Prediction is a non-runner but that doesn’t make it any easier. Huntsman Close was second on his debut and from stall 12 should give you a good race for your money at about 3/1 favourite.”
“Richard Hughes fancies Jacob Cats and said so in his Racing Post column at the weekend. Apparently won last time out just to get a 6lb penalty to ensure they’d get into this race. He took a long time to get going at Sandown under Ryan Moore the last time and get the job done but Richard Hannon has a great record at the meeting.
“An alternative could be Askaud who ran much more aggressively last time and is a winner at the course last year. Tom Queally’s booked to ride and this filly might put it up to the favourite at a decent price.”
“The most open race on the card and a nightmare one to call. Identifying a winner from 26 runners over 5f is very, very, tough. Kevin Ryan’s La Toreador is very capable and very quick on his day. Was fifth in this race in 2009. He’ll like the ground. Can be an each-way fancy at good odds in a wide-open contest.”
Librano (3.10) is Tom Lee’s bet of the day at Goodwood.
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