Tom Lee had the Goodwood bookies on the run yesterday with Olympic Dream (11/4) and The Confessor (12/1) both winning, while Mawaqeet ( 2nd at 16/1) had Paddy Power punters in clover. Here’s his top tips from Goodwood on Day Three.
2.15 Betfred The Bonus King Handicap
A 10f handicap where several have a chance. Asatir’s on a roll but drawn wide and this will not please connections.
One at a slightly bigger price is Henry Cecil’s Wrotham Heath who has flattered to deceive at time. He has plenty of weight but has it for a reason.
He’s already beaten the top-weight Grandeur at Epsom and this drop back to handicap company can pay dividends. Keep the faith with Wrotham Hearth at 8/1 each-way.
If your horse finishes second in this race Paddy Power will refund your losing singl stake (T&C’s apply)
2.45 Audi Richmond Stakes
Mick Channon’s Cay Verdi was a good winner at the Curragh and he looked very sharp that day. Beaten last time in the Norfolk Stakes but that was no disgrace. Richard Hannon’s Master of War has an entry in the Middle Park Stakes so they clearly think a lot of him.
Trainer Richard Hannon has won this contest for the past four years so Master of War is the win bet at about 3/1.
3.15 Artemis Goodwood Cup
Sometimes you can over complicate these races. A lot of solid and consistent Listed race performers but will they be good enough to win a Group race? Probably not.
Saddler’s Rock and Colour Vision drop back in trip after their Ascot Gold Cup duel that saw Frankie Dettori steer Colour Vision home. Saddler’s Rock didn’t settle that day so the faster pace over 2m here should help his cause.
He’s a 4lb pull as Colour Vision has to give all the field weight thanks to that Royal Ascot Group 1 penalty. Sadler’s Rock for me to reverse the placing with Colour Vision.
3.45 Lillie Langtry Stakes (Group 3)
Hawaafez is a big, scopey, robust filly who doesn’t stand a lot of racing but has had a 75 day gap since her last win at Newbury over 1m 5f.
The form of that race has worked out well. She can put it up to the likely favourite Estimate who is going for a hat-trick of wins in the Royal colours.
4.20 EBF Maiden Fillies Stake
We’ll leave the fillies Maiden alone as there’s too many unexposed types. The market is usually the best guide and instead I’ll preview the Galway Hurdle where Paddy Power are paying 1/4 the odds the first 5 in their online betting.
4.50 Guinness Galway Hurdle
The fifth place each-way in this competitive handicap could be worth its weight in gold. The one I like is Lexi’s Boy despite the stats against the four-year-olds.
He aggressive style of racing reminds me of stable-mate Overturn who galloped his rivals into the ground two years ago here. He’s no Overturn yet but he’s won four from seven over hurdles and has done very little wrong.
He’s carries a nice racing weight of 10-6 and at 15/2 I think he’ll be in the each-way prize money at least.
4.55 Tatler Handicap
Andrew Balding’s Stirring Ballad carries 8-7. She’s won at Folkestone and Sandown and gets in here as the bottom weight.
She’ll love the ground and has a decent draw in stall six. Richard Hannon’s pair Shamaal Nibras is overlooked from a difficult draw in stall 15 as is stable-mate Campanology who’s widest of all in stall 16.
I think it will be hard to keep Striking Ballad out of the frame at around 11/2 with Paddy Power’s online betting.
5.25 Betfred Mobile Lotto Handicap
Zamdy Man at 12/1 is an intriguing runner at a big race each-way in the lucky last where we’ve seen a 25/1 shot Le Toreador beaten a nose and The Confessor striking at 12/1 in the past two days. Let’s hope Venetia Williams’ runner can do the same.
Steps in handicap company for the first time having won a 1m maiden at Newmarket. Ran out an easy winner on soft last time and beautifully drawn in stall three.
Could be on a lenient market and 12/1 looks a really good price.