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Bet on a close contest between Wigan and Forest

by Josh Powell | August 28, 2012

By Josh Powell | Sports writer

Nottingham Forest v Wigan

Capital One Cup, Tuesday 7.45pm, The City Ground 

Nottingham Forest are unbeaten this season and welcome Wigan to the City Ground tonight for a mouth-watering clash in the Capital One Cup. Forest have won one and drawn the other two of their opening three League games, putting in some positive performances for gaffer Sean O’Driscoll.

As for the Latics they looked terrible for ten minutes against Chelsea on the opening day of the season but since then have done a touch more than hold their own and won well against Southampton on Saturday.

Forest are slight favourites for the game at 11/8 to win and 4/6 to qualify. Wigan are 19/10 to win inside the 90 minutes and 6/5 to progress which, given their Premiership status, will no doubt appeal to punters.

But this game might not be as straightforward as it seems. These two teams have met four times in their history with Forest winning once and the honours even on the other three occasions. Notably all three of those draws were score-draws.

Punters might feel that Wigan are the better team because they are a League above Nottingham Forest. Add in that Forest haven’t beaten a top-flight club in the League Cup since 1993 and the argument for Roberto Martinez’s team looks even better.

But Wigan have problems of their own. They have lost at this stage of the competition in five of the last seven seasons and in three of their last five Second Round ties they have been beaten by Championship opposition. This includes last year when they were humiliated 2-1 by Crystal Palace. The other intriguing element to the match is that you can’t be quite sure how many changes both teams will make as the League Cup is not a top priority to either.

For these reasons I like the look of the draw in 90 minutes at 23/10 with Paddy Power. I expect it to be a close but entertaining encounter and I can’t separate the sides on recent form.

With three of their last four meetings ending in score-draws I fancy a bit of the 1-1 at 5/1 and I’m loving the 11/1 around for 2-2. Both teams know how to find the net and the evens on over 2.5 goals is appealing.

For the more off-the-wall punter with a pound to spare I’m lining up a 100/1 scorecast of Lewis McGugan to score first and for the result to be 2-2. McGugan has played six League Cup games for Forest and scored in three of them.

He also bagged this absolute rocket in the last Championship game against Bolton so should come into this match full of confidence.

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