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Number cruncher: Kazakhstan v Republic of Ireland

by Josh Powell | September 5, 2012

SURPRISE: Trapp suddenly realises just how many of Ireland’s quality players have retired

Kazakhstan v Republic of Ireland, Friday, September 7, 5.00pm

The Ireland squad have made a healthy eight-hour trip out to Kazakhstan as they look to get off to a winning start in Group C qualifying for the World Cup. The Irish are going through a transition phase after a difficult Euro 2012 tournament and with a number of the old guard hanging up their International boots, Giovanni Trapattoni will be looking to some fresh faces to reignite the Ireland team.

Kazakhstan are not expected to qualify for the World Cup and many people have them as the whipping boys of Group C. But the long trip to central Asia isn’t the kindest and it won’t be easy for any team travelling to the Astana Arena.

Here’s the numbers and stats you need to know to inform you’re betting before Friday’s game.

  • Kazakhstan haven’t lost a match at home since October 2010 which looks very impressive but…
  • Since October 2010 they have only played four home games, beating Azerbaijan and Kyrgyzstan and drawing with Austria and Syria. Maybe not as impressive as first thought but still it shows how hard it is to win there
  • Unfortunately for Kazakstan they haven’t scored in three of the last four games
  • Two of Kazakhstan’s last four games have ended 0-0
  • Ireland are on a poor run of form and have only won one of the last eight games
  • The boys in green are also a touch goal-shy and have only scored one goal in the last five games
  • In total Ireland have scored 12 goals in the last 14 games. A third of those goals were in one match against Estonia
  • Ireland star-striker Robbie Keane hasn’t found the onion bag in 519 minutes of football for the national team and was last on the scoresheet in November 2011

It certainly doesn’t read like it’s going to be a goal-fest in Kazakhstan and the draw at 5/2 looks like it might be the best bet with both teams struggling to pick up a win of late. The 0-0 draw appears to be the most appealing looking at the recent trends at that scoreline is currently 7/1 with Paddy Power.

With goals generally hard to come by under 1.5 goals looks very likely and the odds of 15/8 seem quite tasty for a game that has the makings of a low-scoring match. No goals before half-time at 13/8 might also be worth a couple of quid.

Betting: Kazakhstan v Republic of Ireland

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