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Number cruncher: Plenty of goals in Manchester United v Spurs

by Josh Powell | September 26, 2012

JERMAIN’S PAIN: Defoe and his Spurs team mates haven’t won at Old Trafford for almost 23 years (pic: Inpho)

Tottenham fans must be dreading their trip to Old Trafford on Saturday night. I was the grand old age of 23 a couple of weeks ago and it has been almost that long since Spurs beat Manchester United at the Theatre of Dreams. Andre Villas-Boas is slowly but surely beating the boo-boys whose reaction to Tottenham’s slow start was a knee-jerk reaction while Sir Alex Ferguson’s men are at best unconvincing, and at worst pretty poor, but they’re still getting results. When these two teams meet in the North-West there tends to be goals and looking at the figures we’re expecting more of the same.

The Paddy Power Blog have been taking a look over the stats to inform your betting before the big game.

  • Tottenham have not won at Old Trafford since Gary Linekar gave them a 1-0 victory in December 1989. Since then Man United have won 22 and drawn five in all competitions
  • United have won the last four games on the spin scoring an average of three goals a game
  • Tottenham haven’t kept a clean sheet this season and Manchester United have only kept Wigan out, conceding six goals in five games
  • Four of Man Utd’s opening five games have had over 2.5 goals
  • Both teams have scored in all five of Tottenham’s league games this season
  • Manchester United have won to nil on their last two games against Spurs
  • There have been 16 goals in the last four Premier League games between these two at Old Trafford. An average of four goals per game
  • Manchester United have won over half of the league games they’ve played against Spurs, winning 76 out of 150
  • Manchester United have not lost a Premier League home game since December 31st
  • Tottenham have only won two of the last 10 Premier League away games

They may be struggling with injuries but if you go by the figures the 8/15 on offer for a Manchester United win looks like a good bet. Tottenham are priced at 11/2 with the draw 3/1 but if you’re going on trends there is only one winner. It is 6/4 that Sir Alex Ferguson’s men cover the one goal handicap and win by two or more.

Both teams know where the goal is though and neither are defending particularly well so both teams to score at 4/6 looks like a fair price. Over 2.5 goals is also 4/6 which is to be expected so it might be better to side with over 3.5 goals at 7/4 which would be a reasonable bet going by the stats. If you fancy over 4.5 goals in the game that is 4/1.

In 2009 United came back from 2-0 down at half-time to win 5-2 and it is 90/1 to finish 5-2 to the reds again.

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