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Andy Gray exclusive: The Toffees will come unstuck against QPR

by Josh Powell | October 19, 2012

Andy Gray blog bylineExpert football pundit and analyst Andy Gray has joined Paddy Power to give his insight on the best of the Premier League betting.
Andy Gray’s weekend treble: Arsenal, Newcastle & QPR all to win.

Sunderland v Newcastle, Live on Sky Sports 1, Sunday, 1.30pm

When there’s a derby on you have to look at which team has more match winners in their team. If it’s going to be a tight, hard-fought derby, which team have the players to break the deadlock. Newcastle do. They have more in their locker in regards to who can win the game than Sunderland.

The Black Cats have Steven Fletcher who is a striker in form but he’s going to stop scoring sometimes and who in that Sunderland team can step up to the plate and get the goals. Names don’t jump out at you and that’s what Martin O’Neill has to figure out later on this season.

For Newcastle you have Demba Ba, Papiss Cisse, Hatem Ben Arfa, Jonas Gutierrez, even Yohan Cabaye, all people who can shape a game and turn a game in a moment. An away win is likely and Newcastle at 19/10 is the bet here. Newcastle will have to be at their very best but Fabricio Coloccini is back and that’s a huge boost. He leads them well and competes well at the back and that’s a big bonus for the Toon Army.

This won’t be a goal-fest it will be a tight, hard-fought derby game almost a war of attrition at times. If you want someone to do something special and win a derby, Newcastle have the men in their squad that can do that.

QPR v Everton, Live on Sky Sports 1,
Sunday 4.00pm

The sloppiest of victories will do for QPR at the moment. It may be that this weekend is when it happens but they need to get that victory from somewhere. They’re coming up against an Everton team who are really confident. They’re a team who think they can go most places and certainly score, maybe not win, but certainly score goals. They were unlucky not to win at Wigan and that has to be a warning for Rangers.

Marouane Fellaini will be a big miss but whereas before if Everton lost a big player they struggled, now they can bring in the talented Steven Naismith, they could move Kevin Mirallas infield playing off Nikica Jelavic and that might work. David Moyes has options that he didn’t have before and this will be tough for QPR.

But this is one of these strange games where form and logic doesn’t come in to it. There’s a team here that is desperate for a victory and will be told in no uncertain terms from the manager that they need to win the game. QPR can upset Everton at 11/4 but the Toffees will score. The 2-1 correct score bet is 9/1 and even 3-1 is 25/1

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