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Andy Gray exclusive: Back Manchester City to get the win they need

by Josh Powell | November 6, 2012

Andy Gray blog bylineExpert football pundit and analyst Andy Gray has joined Paddy Power to give his insight on the best of Tuesday’s Champions League betting.

Andy Gray’s Tuesday night double:
Manchester City to win and Arsenal to draw: 4/1

Manchester City v Ajax, Live on ITV 1,
Tuesday, 7.45pm

The 4/9 is generous for Manchester City to win because they are rightly big favourites. The fact that they lost in Amsterdam is an exception not a rule, and Ajax aren’t a great side. Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid are very strong and although Ajax are decent they shouldn’t trouble City and they shouldn’t have done so in the Amsterdam arena.

There’s nothing worse than being a frustrated striker. Being a player that wants to play but is left out of certain games and that is what Sergio Aguero is. He hasn’t been playing, he’s been coming on as a sub and Roberto Mancini has been saving him for big games like tonight. He is a man who always has a goal in him and the 7/2 for him to open the scoring is a good price.

In a big game like this Yaya Toure is another one who could find the onion bag. He drives from midfield and will be asked to get forward and supplement the front man. He always gets himself into good positions and can get his name on the scoresheet at 23/10 anytime.

City can easy keep a clean sheet tonight as they get themselves back together defensively. Ajax don’t have enough firepower to trouble City at the Etihad Stadium. City should out-power them, out-muscle them and out-play them. The players know what is demanded of them and these lads know they need to win big to give the fans something to get hold of. The 10/1 on a 3-0 correct score is worth a bet.

Schalke 04 v Arsenal, Live on Sky Sports 2,
Tuesday, 7.45pm

Schalke should be favourites here because their home record deserves respect, They’re playing well in the Bundesliga and they turned Arsenal over at the Emirates. Arsenal have done nothing since they played Schalke to prove that they’ve found their form. They’re not firing and playing very poorly. They struggled badly against United at the weekend and have been disappointing.

Arsene Wenger has a big problem at left-back. That was an area of the pitch Shalke exploited quite a bit and Andre Santos had a poor weekend again against United. Depending who the centre-backs are Wenger might play Thomas Vermaelen at left-back because they got ripped apart down the left-side in that game at the Emirates.

Football is a funny game though and Arsenal could go over there, get the ball down and play it around. Arsenal are good enough to score and get something but it depends how strong they are defensively. The Gunners have to improve but a score draw could be on the cards.

1-1 at 6/1 and 2-2 at 12/1 are worth considering but Arsenal have to play better.

Read Andy Gray’s exclusive tips for Wednesday night’s matches

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