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X Factor betting: Why you should back Rylan to get the boot

by Josh Powell | November 6, 2012

#BackTheTrend

By Josh Powell | Pop Psychic

Last week Lucy Spraggan was our tip to get the boot from the X Factor at a tasty looking 5/1. Unfortunately on Saturday she had to quit the competition but, as that was a void bet, we can still boast a 100 per cent record with our X Factor tipping.

It’s getting harder to pick the next elimination every week as the public start clearing out some of the dross. There are a number of acts who are in danger of getting the boot next but luckily the week six trends are here to break down who is most likely for the chop.

  • 75 per cent of the time the person eliminated has been in the bottom two before
  • Louis Walsh has lost an act on three occasions in the last eight series of the show
  • 75 per cent of the time someone from the ‘overs’ category is eliminated this week
  • 25 per cent of the time it is an act from the ‘boys’ category
  • Nicole currently has three acts left but no judge has ever got through to week seven with all their acts still in the competition
  • 75 per cent of the time the person eliminated in week six is southern
  • Only twice in the last eight years has a judge lost all thier acts before the start of week seven

A lot of people will feel this week is the last week for Chris Maloney. The ‘overs’ have a terrible history in week six of the competition but we predict the lovable scouser will be safe. He has never been in the bottom two and he’s from the north of England which, according to the trends, plays in his favour.

Importantly Maloney is Gary Barlow’s last act and only 25 per cent of a time does a judge lose all their acts before the start of week seven.

An X Factor insider told the Paddy Power Blog that it’s hard to see Maloney get the boot because he is receiving so much support from the public.

‘It’s hard to see how he will get eliminated. He is getting a lot of loyal support from Liverpool and you saw what happened with people like Ray Quinn, who came second in 2006 and the 2010 runner-up Rebecca Ferguson.

If he is in the bottom two of the voting he will lose the sing off on a judges vote, but he has never been there yet and could incredibly go on to win the whole thing’.

Instead it is most likely to be District 3 and Rylan Clark fighting it out in the sing off this Sunday. Rylan is part of the ‘boys’ category that get eliminated 25 per cent of the time this week and District 3 are managed by Louis Walsh who has lost an act 37.5 per cent of the time in week six. Both acts are southern and have been in the bottom two before.

The reason Rylan is more likely to go is because no judge has ever got through to week seven with all of their acts still in the competition and we can’t see that changing. The trends say that Nicole has to lose an act this week and that means the end of the road for Rylan.

There are a number of tasty bets for this weekend’s show. Rylan and District 3 to face each other in Sunday’s sing off is an appealing 3/1. Rylan is also worth a bet to be the one to get the boot this week at 2/1.

It is hard to see how Rylan can avoid being in the bottom two this week and the evens with Paddy Power for him to appear in the sing off is very tasty.

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