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X Factor betting: Back Ella and Union J to be in for a shock at 14/1

by Josh Powell | November 13, 2012

#BackTheTrend

By Josh Powell | Pop Psychic

It was a disappointing end to last week after our pop psychic skills failed spectacularly. The fame, glory and winnings from three successful tips and a 100 per cent record led to a series of jagerbomb-induced scenarios that Charlie Sheen would have been proud of. Unfortunately it appears high levels of kebab meat and alcohol will greatly blur your psychic vision.

Luckily after a weekend of detoxing we feel the psychic juices are flowing again and are pointing towards a monster shock on this weekend’s show that will once again result in Rylan Clark and Chris Maloney surviving.

Here are the key trends you need to know ahead of week seven of the competition.

  • An act from the ‘groups’ category is eliminated 50 per cent of the time 
  • An act from the ‘boys’ category has been eliminated on three occasions
  • Louis Walsh has lost an act on two occasions in week seven after eight series of the X Factor. On both occasions he was managing the groups
  • 37.5 per cent of acts eliminated in this week have been Irish
  • Another 37.5 per cent have been from London
  • 50 per cent of acts eliminated this week had already been in the bottom two in week five. 50 per cent had been in the bottom two in week six
  • A popular act tends to be in the bottom two this week. 66 per cent of the acts who are in the sing-off but are saved in week seven go on to come either second or third in the competition.
  • In the last two years there has been a girl saved in the sing-off. They were Cher Lloyd in 2010 and Amelia Lilly in 2011.
  • Popular acts that were bottom in week seven in the last few years also include JLS, Olly Murs and Ben Mills.

Looking at the shocks in the last few years we are expecting another ground-shattering week seven in this series of the X Factor. It has been well reported in the press that ratings are down and BBC1’s Strictly Come Dancing is giving it a good old-fashioned bashing in the viewing figures. So what better way to get people talking than throwing in one of the favourites into the sing-off?

That’s why we fancy Union J and Ella Henderson to be in the bottom two this weekend with the One Direction-wannabes getting the boot. The odds for both of these acts to be in the sing-off is an appealing 14/1 and is certainly worth a quid.

Union J have been in the bottom two in week four and week seven and don’t appear to have got the teenage girl vote that Louis Walsh is pushing for. That might change with the loss of District 3 but the lads are evens to be in the bottom two once again and 7/2 for the boot.

Ella was installed as the outright favourite when the live shows started but has been on the drift ever since. She’s gone from 4/6 to 7/4 to win the competition and may find herself in plenty of trouble this weekend.

It tends to be a week were a big name is in trouble and out of James Arthur, Jahmene Douglas and Ella, she is the one who is in most danger. She should survive on the judge’s vote but the 7/2 on her to be in the bottom two is appealing.

With James and Jahmene practically untouchable, Rylan somehow surviving and Christopher Maloney milking the Merseyside vote, the 14/1 on Ella and Union J being the bottom two combo could prove to be quite profitable.

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