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I’m A Celebrity betting preview: Back Brian to be crowned King

by Josh Powell | November 14, 2012

By Josh Powell | Jungle expert

Eating animal bollocks, sleeping rough and trying to survive the day on basic rations. It might just be a normal day for the people of Norfolk but for ten barely-celebrities it makes up the 12th series of I’m A Celebrity… Get Me Out Of Here.

Unlike on a Saturday when you can slink off to the pub and leave the other half to watch X Factor, this reality show is on every night for the next two weeks. There’s no escaping it, so sit down, get comfy and try to avoid any questions about why you can’t stop staring at Helen Flanagan.

Like most reality shows one of the best ways to get through watching the many hours of drivel is to make a couple of pennies out of it, but I’m A Celebrity is a punting minefield. On the XFactor after the first couple of shows, you know who can get closest to the right note and that doesn’t really change. They’ll all be crap, just some more crap than others.

On I’m A Celebrity it is basically a popularity contest with a twist. The contestants that are all nice and sound stay in until the end. The contestants people don’t like stay in because the public want to see them have a mental break-down as Ant and Dec throw maggots at them.

Here are the top five trends for the last 11 series of the show.

  • Men have won eight times out of 11
  • Singers win 36 per cent of the time. More than any other profession
  • Contestants aged under 35 win 55 per cent of the time
  • If you’re between five-foot-seven and six-foot tall you have an 89 per cent chance of being crowned the king or queen of the jungle
  • Five out of 11 winners have been from London

Using a very mathematical and fool-proof formula, the three celebrities we expect to go far in the competition and possibly even win it are, Brian Conley, Colin Baker and Hugo Taylor.

Paddy Power has obviously been studying the trends and Brian is the favourite to win this year’s contest at 2/1The comedian, who has released a few popular songs, certainly has shown he has the likeability factor so far on the show and his age is the only trend going against him.

Colin Baker has plenty of trends in his favour and his sharp wit will go down well with viewers. At 25/1 he has some value for people wanting an optimistic bet. Made In Chelsea star Hugo is the solid each way value though at 16/1The 26-year-old London lad has plenty going his way and with Paddy Power paying 1/5 the odds for the top three it might be worth a little nibble.

Singers tend to do well in the competition but looking at the trends, the British public are inherently racist and girls are naff in the jungle so that’s Ashley Roberts out of the running. Limahl was the front man for Kajagoogoo so as a male singer could follow Dougie Pointer and Matt Willis and go on to be crowned king at 25/1Unfortunately he is five-foot-six and from Wigan so it seems unlikely he’ll get the required support.

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