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Andy Gray exclusive: All about the home wins this Wednesday

by Rob Dore | January 1, 2013

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Expert football pundit and analyst Andy Gray has joined Paddy Power to give his insight on the best of Wednesday evening’s Premier League action.

Andy Gray’s Wednesday Treble
Chelsea, Liverpool & Newcastle all to win – over 3/1
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Liverpool v Sunderland – 7.45pm

This is going to be a tough game for Liverpool. I wouldn’t say it’s a given that they’re going to win. I think it might be a game like their recent loss to Aston Villa where they start well, putting Sunderland under pressure from the off. If Martin O’Neill’s side ride their luck early on like Villa did then they certainly have the tools to counter-attack Liverpool.

If Liverpool don’t get the first goal in the first half then they can get a little anxious and nervy in front of their own fans. They’ve played ten league games at Anfield this season and they’ve only won four. That’s not like Liverpool and they’d expect a better return from ten home games. This will give Sunderland some hope.

I don’t see a high-scoring game but I do see Liverpool pinching 1-0 at 11/2 it and if they do it’ll be surprise to see Luis Suarez score the goal. (Suarez to score first and Liverpool to win 1-0 is 16/1)

Chelsea v QPR – 7.45pm

You have to take your hat off to Rafa Benitez. In three Premier League games he’s picked up nine points. Going to Goodison and winning after losing an early goal was a fantastic performance from them. Rafa picked a starting 11 designed to stand up to the physicality of Everton and it proved the right one. He deserves a huge amount of credit for coming in and steadying the ship and getting Chelsea playing the way they are.

This is a home banker at 2/9, in fact I had a feeling this could have been 1/9 or 1/10 such is the poor form of QPR and the very, very good form of Chelsea at the moment.

I think there will be goals in this game. Chelsea are in that type of mood and when you look at QPR, who were easily dismantled by a Liverpool side far short of being the best in the league, it makes you worry a little bit. What can Harry do in the two days between games to put that right? Very little. He can change personnel and tactics but it’s not going to make them a better side. It’s going to be a tough day for QPR and Chelsea to win 3-0 at 13/2 looks a very good price to me.

Newcastle v Everton – 8pm Sky Sports 1

I want to say that Everton will win this because they’ll be more resolute and tough to break down. They’ve also got a genuine threat when they go forward as a team and they’re a better unit than Newcastle.

However, Newcastle have to turn the corner and they have to get a victory. I just wonder, coming in to a New Year with renewed optimism, there’ll be a massive crowd at St James and they might just roar their side on to a very narrow victory.

My head is saying this is a game Everton can get something from but I have one of those feelings that this might be the day that Alan Pardew gets his team back winning again.

I’m going to go for Newcastle at 2/1 to shade this, against my better judgement. I think both teams will score but I can see Newcastle winning 2-1 at 9/1 or 3-2 at 22/1.

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