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FourFourTom: The stats that point to a Manchester City win at White Hart Lane

by Paddy Power Admin | April 18, 2013

Why @FourFourTom is tipping over 2.5 goals in Sunday’s Premier League game at White Hart Lane

Ignoring their trip to Stamford Bridge on May 8, this Sunday’s game against Manchester City will probably prove to be Tottenham’s most important remaining fixture in terms of achieving a top four finish.

Assuming Spurs pick up a decent haul of points from their ‘easier’ games against Wigan, Southampton, Stoke and Sunderland, their top four dreams will probably be achieved or broken by the results of the games against Manchester City and Chelsea. With Aaron Lennon, Jermain Defoe and Gareth Bale all expected to rejoin the matchday squad on Sunday, Spurs fans will be praying they hit the ground running and pick up what would be a vital three points.

City have won four in a row against Spurs

Manchester City will get the win despite Tottenham being boosted by the return of their prized attacking options. Although the title is out of their reach barring a miracle, they will be keen to cut the gap between themselves and Manchester United down to as few points as possible before the end of the season and, aside from the injured Sergio Aguero, they’ll have a fully fit squad at their disposal.

Looking at the stats behind my pick, Man City have won 8 of their last 9 games in all competitions and 5 of their last 6 in the Premier League, so they couldn’t be in much better form at the moment. It’s also worth noting they’ve won the last four Premier League meetings in a row against Spurs, which means they haven’t dropped a single point against them since August 2010.

If you want to bet on goals rather than the outcome of the match, exactly half of Man City’s league games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals, whilst 6 of Tottenham’s last 7 have seen over 2.5.

My prediction: Tottenham 1-2 Manchester City (15/2)

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