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Manager merry-go-round: Discover why Stoke should be far happier than Everton

by Josh Powell | May 30, 2013
HUGH'S THE MAN? Mark Hughes has taken the reigns at the Britannia Stadium

HUGHES THE MAN? Mark Hughes has taken the reigns at the Britannia Stadium

By Josh Powell | The managerial merry-go-round

There’s anarchy on the streets, bedsheets are being torn off to create huge banners, and local residents are on Sky News saying it is the worse thing to happen to the city of Stoke since Robbie Williams released Rudebox in 2006.

Mark Hughes has penned a three-year deal with the Potters and is already on the end of some prime abuse. Just a brief look through the search ‘Mark Hughes’ on Twitter gives you a pretty good insight into how most of Stoke is feeling about his appointment, and an equally good insight into why these people need to work harder on their spelling.

63 miles up the M6 and Everton fans are buzzing with anticipation about their impending appointment of Roberto Martinez. Puzzling considering Martinez has just managed to get Wigan spectacularly relegated after three years of trying.

Could it be therefore, that Martinez is over-rated because he is a ‘nice guy’ and Mark Hughes is actually under-rated because people tend to think he is a bit of a grumpy nob?

When you compare the two appointments, taking into consideration Martinez is likely to be at Goodison next season, Stoke’s business in the manager market could actually prove to be better, despite the uproar from their fans.

Pulis v Hughes chart

Pulis’ career statistics in management are not too dissimilar to that of Mark Hughes. Sparky has a slightly better win record at 39.53 per cent but he has lost a higher percentage of games than Pulis.

If you turn the percentages into points over a 38 game season however, the difference is two points in the favour of Mark Hughes. Both managers would theoretically lose 13 games each, with Hughes picking up 15 wins and 10 draws and Pulis racking up 14 wins and 11 draws. That leaves Hughes on 55 points, enough for a top eight finish this year and the kind of improvement Stoke fans are hoping for.

Tony Pulis would theoretically finish the season on 53 points, level with one Roberto Martinez, if you apply the same theory. Everton fans look away now, or abuse me via @paddypower, whichever suits you.

Moyes v Martinez chart

As the chunky green section of the pie shows, David Moyes has a far superior  win rate as a manager than Roberto Martinez. For the record narrowly avoiding relegation by the skin of your teeth year after year is not an achievement. A last-minute FA Cup winner might temporarily distract fans from the cold reality that Martinez has failed to win 72 per cent of matches in the Premier League.

Stoke are 7/2 in the betting to get relegated next season with Everton a potentially more tempting 20/1. By no means will either club go down this season but both sides are looking for progression and in 12 months time, Stoke could be much the happier.

The Potters are aiming to establish themselves as a top ten team and have a supportive backroom with a few quid to spend. It is the stable environment that Mark Hughes should relish after the chaos of QPR and despite his critics, he has the ability to navigate a top half finish.

Everton are aiming for European qualification but fighting for a top six place with Martinez at the helm, a shoe-string budget, no Marouane Fellaini and an out of sorts Nikica Jelavic is not an appealing proposition.

Will Martinez come unstuck with the Toffees? Dive into the Premier League betting here and have your say on Twitter

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