Renowned Racing Post tipster Tom Segal – better known as Pricewise – joins Paddy Power for all five days of the Royal Ascot Festival. Here’s his race-by-race breakdown for day one on Tuesday.
Pricewise | Royal Ascot Day One
2.30 pm: Queen Anne Stakes, Group 1
Animal Kingdom is a deserving favourite on form having won a Kentucky Derby and Dubai World Cup. But those wins came over 1m 2f on dirt and this is a mile on grass.
His price has as much to do with the lack of opposition as anything else. Lockinge Stakes winner Farhh has been ruled out through injury and he would have put it up to the American challenger. I couldn’t put him up at odds on as representing good value now – but he looks the one to beat.
3.05 pm: King Stand Stakes, Group 1
Two British-trained winners in this race in the past 10 years tells its own story here. Shea Shea is a classy South African performer and was impressive in Dubai when twice beating Sole Power into second and fourth – but that’s reflected in his price. If I was looking around for a bet I’d prefer to do one at a bigger price each-way.
The three-year-old Reckless Abandon has some top form and ran well at Haydock when third on his reappearance behind Kingsgate Native. Medicean Man was an unlucky fourth to Little Bridge here last year as was Sole Power who was a very credible third from stall 22. The draw is crucial and there’s going to be hard-luck stories so I’ll be looking for one at a price.
3.45pm St James’s Palace Stakes, Group 1, 3.45pm
Dawn Approach looks the best horse in the race but may have a few questions to answer after his Epsom Derby flop. Personally, I fancy Magician for the Aidan O’Brien stable but that scare he had last week has me slightly worried.
He didn’t look like he was ever out of second gear when winning the Irish 2,000 Guineas while his stable-mate Mars could be better suited to this trip. Richard Hannon’s Toronado is well regarded and runs in a new bit to help him breath more easily.
4.25pm Coventry Stakes, Group 2, 4.25pm
I’ve spent a lot of time watching the entries here but while its been a great race for punters – with seven of the last 11 winners being favourite or joint-favourite. The biggest priced winner in that time was Art Connoisseur at 8/1 in 2008. Dawn Approach actually won this last year – and wasn’t even favourite. There’s confidence behind Stubbs and money for Championship but I’ve a terrible record in picking the winner of the race. Maybe best to stick with your choice of the first three or four in the betting.
5pm Ascot Stakes, Handicap, 2m 4f, 5pm
The thing about this race is the last three winners have all been decent hurdlers. Simenon won it last year – his first of two wins at the festival – and Wilie Mulins has booked Richard Hughes for Midnight Oil. Veiled and Junior scored the twice before that. There’s also good word for Ed Dunlop’s Mubaraza and was third to Tiger Cliff at Newmarket last time out. Look for a good hurdler who acts on fast ground and you’re half-way there.
5.35pm Windsor Castle Stakes, Listed, 5.35pm
Some really big-priced winners over the years and looks wide open again. US trainer Wesley Ward won this with Strike the Tiger at 33/1 four years ago and saddles Ogermeister who won at Belmont Park last month over 5f. Anticipated has won over course and distance for the Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes team and that’s a big plus.
- Matt Chapman’s taking on the King of the Tipsters! Find out his Tuesday picks here