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Matt Chapman: Find out my 14/1 shot to bash the bookies in the Royal Hunt Cup

by Sean Goff | June 19, 2013

Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman | Royal Ascot Betting day two

The battle against the bookies on Day 1 was tough, although we got the right two in the King’s Stand Stakes so at least one good forecast collected.  Well done Paddy with Sole Power, although he will know better than me how unlucky our main selection Shea Shea was in a tight finish. And, of course, it was not hard to fancy Dawn Approach.

Day 2 is all about the Prince of Wales’s Stakes, and many will be on Al Kazeem after he defeated Camelot comfortably in the Group 1 Tattersalls Gold Cup at the Curragh on May 26.

Al Kazeem is improving fast and it would be a fairy tale for jockey James Doyle if he won as the rider has yet to score a Royal meeting success.

However, I think there are reasons why Camelot (3.45pm) can reverse the form.


KING OF THE CASTLE: Camelot can cruise to James’s Palace Stakes success

  • Aidan O’Brien is a master at getting a horse ready for this fixture.
  • Camelot may have needed his last run after a colic operation
  • The Ascot straight, where a turn of foot can be so crucial, will really suit him.

I think he will cruise round and win well at around 7/2. I really do!

It may not be a two-horse race. French raider Maxios landed the d’Ispahan and Ganay on his last two starts – they are both Group 1s and he comes here with a mark of 120. That is the same as Camelot. However, although he’s good, he’s not won a 2,000 Guineas and two Derbys like Camelot, even if the form of those races has taken a knock or two.

Royal Hunt Cup

Meanwhile, I think Burke’s Rock at around 14/1 (4.25) is worth a second glance in the Royal Hunt Cup where Paddy is paying 1/4 the odds the first 5 home. Obviously you need a bit of luck with the draw. But Jeremy Noseda’s inmate won a Listed prize with a handicap rating of 97 at Goodwood last time and the handicapper hasn’t raised his mark.

Frankie Dettori is on board, which is no bad thing at Ascot, while Burke’s Rock is proven over further than a mile with stamina always needed in a race like this. Well worth a look.

Finally, I’m interested in Oriel (5pm) at around 15/2 in the Group 2 Queen Mary. Oriel hasn’t won a race yet, but Richard Hughes has picked her and she’s got two good place outings when third at Newbury and, most importantly, second at Ascot on the debut. She’s clearly smart and Hannon is a good man to have on side in a race like this.

Jersey Stakes

  • Agree with Matt? Pricewise doesn’: He’s got a 12/1 shot to beat Camelot here 
  • Betting: Sprint to all today’s runners, odds & form here 
  • Follow Matt Chapman on Twitter. 

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