Matt Chapman | York preview Saturday
I popped in to see Robert Cowell last Friday and he advised me to back Jwala when she was out next. At that stage I had no idea she would run in the Nunthorpe. (Ed – Could you not have written this yesterday, Matt ?)
Cowell was convinced there was a good win in her – but the Nunthorpe at 40/1? Wow.
Paddy got away with murder yesterday – actually, with Al Kazeem, Venus de Milo and Shea Shea, Paddy has got away with terrible crimes all week. Time for some much-needed revenge. You hear me, Paddy?
So what about Saturday’s big betting heat, the Ebor Handicap?
In many ways it goes against everything one knows to fancy a horse who has gone up 6lb in the weights without winning in its last four races, but that’s the case for me as I really can’t see Caravan Rolls On (3.50) being out of the first four.
The Caravan has only had five runs in the last two years, but has been in terrific form this term, finishing fourth behind Tiger Cliff at Newmarket, the same position behind Opinion at Royal Ascot and then second to Silver Lime at Ascot.
What Caravan Rolls On needs is a strong gallop in a huge field, and that’s exactly what he’ll get in the Ebor. Jamie Spencer is the perfect jockey for the five-year-old, and while he might be 5lb higher than I would like, I have to stick with him. This is one Caravan I’m happy to get behind!
The Gimcrack is wide open, but I would suggest a few quid at a decent price on Parbold (3.15) who won at York on her debut before finishing second in the Coventry and third at Goodwood. The Coventry form is not great, but he’s still a fine prospect.
Debdebdeb (2.40) at York is improving for Andrew Balding and still at the right end of the handicap. They race at Goodwood on Saturday as well and I expect Afsare (3.30) to follow up a recent win at Salisbury in the Celebration Mile.
There is very little pace in this event – Premio Loco may make it but prefers to come from off a gallop. Afsare can either track the leader or make all before getting first run and staying on too strongly for his rivals.
Best of luck everyone. Yeeehaaa!
- Fancy a punt? : Gallop over to all Saturday’s cards, form and action here