By Josh Powell | Stupid Punt
The Manchester Derby is a pretty legitimate reason for football fans to get a bit giddy. You have to remember that during a miserable summer where the Gareth Bale transfer drove us to the brink of insanity, we were crying out for Stoke v Hull on a Monday night.
So this Super Sunday is welcomed with open arms.
The match has recently thrown up some crazy results, as you’ll see in our mental results guide here, and there are a handful of punters who are predicting another goal-fest this weekend.
The Stupid Punt celebrates those Premier League punters who take a risk at huge odds and could potentially come out a few grand richer, as well as adorning our Paddy Power Blog Punting Hall Of Fame.
Here are three of the more outlandish bets in the book for this weekend’s games and some stats to try to back them up.
Scorecast: Marouane Fellaini to score first and the game to end 3-3
One punter is on at 325/1
- United and City have drawn 3-3 on three previous occasions in the league. Back in 1990, 1971 and 1919
- Maroune Fellani has scored 25 Premier League goals in his career, finding the net on average every 470 minutes. He is currently on a 1,066 minute goal drought so the midfielder must be due one
- 33 per cent of Manchester Derby games in the league have ended level, but there has only been one draw in the last nine encounters
It isn’t ridiculous to envisage the Manchester Derby ending all square, but 3-3 may just be stretching it. Despite both sides being packed with attacking quality it is hard to consider either side conceding three goals, particularly when there hasn’t been a score draw between these sides in 20 meetings. Fellaini might nod one in though so there’s always hope.
Correct Score – Manchester City 5-4 Manchester United
One punter has staked £5 at 500/1
- Manchester United have scored exactly four away to City in two previous matches. Once in 1971 and once in 1957, however they won both of those encounters
- The last time the Red Devils conceded five goals away from home was on the final day of last season when West Brom knocked five past them in a 5-5 draw
- City knocked in exactly five goals at home as recently as November 2012 when they stuffed Aston Villa 5-0. Sergio Aguero and Carlos Tevez bagged a couple each
After very defensive displays against Chelsea and Liverpool, it is hard to imagine David Moyes playing in such an attacking manner that it finishes 5-4. However the Red Devils did ship five to West Brom recently and nobody needs reminding of the six goals City put past them when Alex Ferguson described his team’s performance as ‘suicidal’.
Scorecast: Ryan Giggs to score first and Manchester United to win 5-2
One punter has staked £5 at 2500/1
- Manchester United have beaten Manchester City 5-2 away from home once before – in a league match on November 3 1894
- In his career Ryan Giggs has played almost 40 hours of football against Manchester City and scored just twice (that’s the best part of two days!)
- The last time City conceded five goals at home was in a 5-1 defeat to Arsenal in February 2003
Blimey. Will Giggs even start? Since having a tough 73 minutes against Liverpool he’s been left out of the squad for games with Crystal Palace and Bayer Leverkusen. If he does manage to make the first XI he is hardly prolific against City, and according to the odds, there are 20 lads more likely to open the scoring than the Welshman.
After all that, even if Giggs does open the scoring, this punter is hoping for the game to end 5-2 to United in the City of Manchester Stadium. The definition of a Stupid Punt.