By Josh Powell | Stupid Punt
Football punters have cleaned Paddy Power out this week, and all the success has gone to a fair few heads. After a truck load of favourites triumphed in the Carling Cup midweek – backers were in seventh heaven and the traders downstairs were running for cover.
Either the celebratory drinks are doing the talking after having Paddy’s lucky pants down, or punters are convinced there’ll be some high-scoring games this weekend. There have been a number of outrageously brave bets staked ahead of the Premier League’s action.
The Stupid Punt celebrates those Premier League punters who take a risk at huge odds and could potentially come out a few grand richer, as well as adorning our Paddy Power Blog Punting Hall Of Fame.
Here are three of the more outlandish bets in the book for this weekend’s games and some stats to try and back them up.
Correct Score – Aston Villa 0-7 Manchester City
One punter has staked £20 at 325/1
- The last time City scored exactly seven goals away from home they beat Derby County 7-1 in January 1938
- City have never scored seven past Aston Villa, however they did beat them 6-1 in the FA Cup in March 1934
- Aston Villa last conceded seven goals at home in a 7-1 thrashing by Arsenal in 1935
If this punt had been made before this fixture in the 1930’s it probably wouldn’t have made this column. However it is 2013, and the chances of City hitting seven past an improved Aston Villa side without reply are slim. The Citizens have warmed up nicely smashing five past Wigan in the Capital One Cup. However you’d expect Villa to put up a bit more of a fight.
Correct Score – Sunderland 0-7 Liverpool
One punter has staked the very accurate amount of £2.64 at 500/1
- There has been one 7-0 scoreline in this fixture in the past. However it went Sunderland’s way in December 1912
- Liverpool won 7-0 relatively recently, beating Birmingham City by that scoreline in a 2006 FA Cup tie
- Sunderland may be in turmoil but they have never, in their history, conceded exactly seven goals in front of their home fans
Managerless Sunderland might be in a whole heap of trouble but it would be a considerable shock if they were to get hammered 7-0 at the Stadium of Light. Liverpool will be encouraged by Luis Suarez’s return in midweek but, according to the odds, there’s more chance of Ron Burgundy becoming Ireland manager than this punt coming in.
Scorecast: Paulinho to score first and Tottenham to draw 4-4 with Chelsea
One punter has staked £5 at 3000/1
- These two sides drew 4-4 at White Hart Lane just five years ago in the league
- Tottenham have racked up three 4-4 draws at home in the last 10 years
- Four of Paulinho’s last 20 goals for club and country have been the opening goal of the game. That is 20 per cent.
Considering the stats this punt might not be as ridiculous as it originally seemed. There have been 16 goals in the last three games between Chelsea and Spurs so a high-scoring game isn’t out of the question. 4-4 draws aren’t too much of an unusual occurrence at White Hart Lane, and Paulinho opened his account with a goal against Cardiff last week.
The odds might suggest a Stupid Punt, but you sir, could be a genius.