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X Factor: Who should you be backing, according to the trends?

by Josh Powell | October 10, 2013

The X Factor is back and there have been more tantrums, tears and turmoil than ever before – and that’s just at Sharon Osbourne’s house. The four judges have picked their stars and 12 hopefuls will now be put through Dermot O’Leary’s painfully long dramatic pauses every weekend until Christmas. Love it or hate it, there’s a great chance to make money off it, so here’s the trends you need to know to find the winner…

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Boys have a stunning record in this competition, winning five of the last nine series. They’ve won three of the last four years and have filled five of the eight top two places in the last four years. their biggest disadvantage might be a certain grey-haired lunatic called Louis Walsh.

Yes his fashion sense is incredible, and yes he makes the show more entertaining than anybody else. He is the cornerstone of the X Factor, but in nine attempts he has won just the once, back in 2005 with Shayne Ward. A man who probably passes the time nowadays, turning on Christmas lights in Stockport and selling cleaning products door to door.

One judge who knows how to get the job done is Nicole Sherzinger. She secured the 1-2 last year in her debut series and will be confident of victory again with a strong girls category. It has been five years since a girl won the X Factor (Little Mix were a group for all the nit-pickers out there) so they could be due a good run this time around.

Both Hannah Barrett and Tamera Foster are from the South of England which put them in the strongest position in Nicole’s category. From the boys both Luke Friend and Sam Callaghan are southerners although Nicolas McDonald deserves the most attention. The Scottish teenager can follow in the footsteps of fellow countryman Leon Jackson and win the X Factor for the Scots.

As for the groups and the overs,you’d be better backing Miley Cyrus to win a Nobel Peace Prize. Both categories have a shocking record in the competition and it looks set to continue this year.

Osbourne has had just two-thirds and a second in four attempts at cracking this gig and that’s not good reading for the overs. In the last three years just one contestant from that category has made the podium and that was Chris Maloney.

Barlow has had a couple of runners in the frame but is yet to win in two attempts and is unlikely to buck that trend with this year’s groups. Whether it is a pregnant group member, a dodgy visa or just some shabby vocals it’s hard to see any of the three groups this year challenging the boys and the girls.

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