Matt Chapman | Newmarket preview
Any bloke reading this will love to think he is stamina laden, but for those kidding themselves it’s only a matter of time before they are found out!
The Cesarewitch at Newmarket (3.50), this weekend’s hugely competitive handicap, is exactly the same. No stamina, no success. Two and a quarter miles is a rare trip on the level and quite simply – half the field will be nowhere near winning.
It is not a race to have adamant thoughts about, but I’ve got two against the field that will definitely get the trip.
The first I will have a few quid on is DOMINATION (9/1), who has been in cracking form for Irish trainer Charles Byrnes and is already a Cesarewitch winner, albeit the Trial event in 2012!
Domination was only rated 77 then, and is now off 95, so although he has improved his task remains a stiff one. However, what he does have is bundles of stamina, and he’s fit and in cracking form after two hurdle victories in August. Hurdling often strengthens Flat horses up – and the jumpers have had a great time in the Cesarewitch over the years.
Charles Byrnes’ runner will probably trade at single figures in this 34-runner handicap, but I’ll also have a few quid on one at bigger odds, namely ALBERT BRIDGE (22/1), trained by Ralph Beckett.
This is an event that horses tend to come back and run well in again after a first go. Only one of the first 10 home last year is back for more – and that is the selection.
Albert Bridge was 7th of 34 here a year ago and although he has not won this year he’s been consistent suggesting he’s going to be running a big one again. He’s 1lb higher than last year, but a year older and stronger and he could surprise a few! Just think of Paddy’s pathetic state if either win – he’d be in bits. Bits! You hear me Paddy?
All eyes will be on Great White Eagle (2/1f) in the Group 1 Middle Park and he may well win, but he won’t be one to bet on in my book. I like the look of BROWN SUGAR (Newm 2.35), who won the Molecomb Stakes at Goodwood and then finished a great third behind No Nay Never in the Morny in France.
His win at Kempton last time was good as well, albeit on the polytrack. He’ll be overpriced with Pat Dobbs on board and I’ll back him each-way at around 16/1.
Aidan O’Brien’s War Command (6/5f) will be all the rage in the Dewhurst (Newm 3.10), and he looked great in the Coventry at Royal Ascot in June. But I will be on OUTSTRIP (6/4), who really impressed me at Doncaster and could be a really fine colt in the making. He stays strong.
It promises to be a fabulous weekend. I just hope the stamina holds up. Yeeehaaa!
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