Big gambles in football are nothing new. For every big-money flop there’s a budget price superstar whose made his way from the bargain bin to Premier League glory. For every £50 million Fernando Torres there’s a Dejan Lovren for £4 million – it’s the task of the manager, scouting network and the backroom staff to dig the gold out of some over-priced turds.
Luckily to crack it big with a football bet you don’t need to mess around in a pile of crap, you simply need to have a little knowledge, a little luck and a whole lot of courage.
The Stupid Punt celebrates Premier League punters who take a risk at huge odds and could potentially come out a few grand richer, as well as adorning our Paddy Power Blog Punting Hall Of Fame.
Here are three of the more outlandish bets in the book for this weekend’s games and some stats that try to back them up.
Correct score: Arsenal 4-4 Liverpool
Seven punters are on at 175/1, and one guy has had £30 on it
- There have been two 4-4 draws between these sides in history. Most recently in 2009 at Anfield but once at Arsenal as well, back in 1928
- The last time Liverpool scored exactly four goals on the road was in March this year against Wigan in the Premier League
- The last 4-4 draw at the Emirates was in 2008 when Tottenham scored two late goals to snatch a point off Arsenal in an eight-goal thriller
It’s the tastiest match of the weekend as league-leaders Arsenal face third placed Liverpool, and there’s a handful of fans expecting a goalfest on Saturday night. On a positive note there have been eight score draws in the last 15 meetings between these two sides, and there hasn’t been a 0-0 draw since 1999. However 4-4 might just be pushing it a little.
Scorecast: Newcastle to beat Chelsea 3-1 and Loic Remy to score first
One punter is on at 225/1
- Newcastle have beaten Chelsea 3-1 at home five times before. In 1950, 1951, 1988, 1997 and 1998
- Loic Remy has opened the scoring twice in six starts for Newcastle and bagged five goals in seven appearances for the Magpies
- In 200 games as manager of Chelsea, Jose Mourinho has never been beaten 3-1
Last week patriotic Newcastle punters backed their side to beat Sunderland 5-0 in the local derby. Unfortunately that went as well as Roy Keane turning up at Alex Ferguson’s house for Christmas dinner. The Magpies have some vague history of beating Chelsea 3-1 but it’s been 15 years since they last did it and Alan Pardew doesn’t look like the kind of man who can get the better of the Special One.
Scorecast: Norwich to beat Manchester City 1-0 and Johan Elmander to score the goal
One punter has £1 on at 275/1
- Norwich have never beaten Manchester City 1-0 away from home
- The last time City were beaten 1-0 at home in the league was in May 2010
- Johan Elmander has scored in 14 Premier League games in his career. When he scores, his team goes on to win 57 per cent of the time
The Canaries have won just one of the last six top flight games but that hasn’t stopped one punter backing them to beat City, with Swedish loanee Johan Elmander scoring the only goal. It’s been three years since City last lost 1-0 at home – probably when most City fans were still Chelsea fans – so it would take something special for Norwich to take the spoils by that scoreline on Saturday afternoon.
As for Elmander to score the winner? That’s the definition of a Stupid Punt.
- Stupid Punt: Your craziest Premier League bets for this weekend
- Stupid Punt: The craziest Premier League bets you’ve placed this weekend