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More More Draw: Why you can profit from this weekend’s close games ending all square

There are a number of tight matches in the Premier League this weekend and backing them to finish level could result in a tidy little acca

by Josh Powell | November 2, 2013

This season, 21 per cent of the 90 matches have ended all square – meaning that a couple of games each weekend should finish level on average. Well this weekend it might be worth giving that stat the same disregard you’d give to One Direction’s latest single or the new series of Made In Chelsea.

In six of this weekend’s games, both sides are odds against and in our book there are five of them that could very easily finish in a draw.

Hull v Sunderland – Draw 9/4

  • Hull are unbeaten in four league games at home but have scored just three goals in those four matches
  • Sunderland have taken just one point from a possible 12 on the road
  • In five of the last eight matches between these two sides, just a single goal has decided the game

West Ham v Aston Villa – Draw 23/10

  • Eight of the 17 matches between West Ham and Villa at Upton Park have ended all square
  • Three of West Ham’s nine games this season have finished 0-0


Arsenal v Liverpool – Draw 23/10

  • Eight of the last 15 matches between these two sides have finished level
  • Six of those eight games have finished 1-1
  • Four of the last six games between Liverpool and Arsenal at the Emirates have ended in a draw

Everton v Tottenham – Draw 9/4

  • Five of the last 12 matches between Everton and Tottenham have finished with the teams sharing the spoils
  • Three of the last six matches between these sides at Goodison Park have ended in a draw
  • The Toffees are just one of five teams who have drawn three or more games in the Premier League this season

Manchester City v Everton - Premier League

Cardiff v Swansea – Draw 23/10

  • Four of the last ten derbies between Cardiff and Swansea have been draws
  • In the last 12 head-to-heads in all competitions, four have ended level and the other eight have been decided by just one goal
  • Like Everton, Cardiff are just one of the few teams to have racked up three draws in their opening nine games

Christmas is just around the corner and the temptation to put all five in a 380/1 accumulator is more appealing than waking up to the sweet smell of a bacon sandwich. A cheeky £10 acca could win you just short of £3,800 and potentially pay for a good lot of night outs between now and the New Year, a cheeky little winter break abroad or one hell of a Christmas dinner.

Normally advising such an optimistic acca isn’t wise, but Paddy Power was on the sauce again this week and is refunding all losing Premier League accumulators this weekend. If it does go tits up your wallet won’t feel the hit because you’ll have a free bet for next week’s games.

If you’re slightly more of a grounded punter you could always stick all five draw results in doubles. That would be 10 doubles at £1 a line, costing you a tenner. If two results come in the minimum return you’ll get is £10.56, so even if three games let you down you’ll be in profit.

That’s a bag of pork scratchings in the pub courtesy of Paddy!


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