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Stupid Punt: The craziest Premier League bets you’ve placed this weekend

It could be a dream, a premonition, a gut feeling or maybe a few too many scoops at the local. It doesn't matter what it is that inspires people to place these bets, we salute you. A place in the Punting Hall of Fame potentially awaits...

by Josh Powell | November 21, 2013

The fame and fortune that comes with taking a seat in the Punting Hall of Fame knows no bounds. Before you realise it you’re getting invited to the Hunger Games movie premiere, fine dining with stars of the red carpet, and snuggling up to Jennifer Lawrence at the after-show knees-up*

Not only that but you’ll have a few quid in your pocket courtesy of Paddy!

The Paddy Power Blog celebrates football punters who take a risk at huge odds and could potentially come out a few grand richer and indulge in the good times the Hall of Fame brings.

Here are three of the more outlandish bets in the book for tonight’s games and some stats that try to back them up.

*This is a wild presumption, based on dreams and good feelings. It probably isn’t true.

MBS Aguero last v Spurs banner

Scorecast: Steven Caulker to score first and Cardiff to beat Man United 1-0
One punter is on at 300/1

  • The last time Cardiff beat Manchester United was on November 26 1960
  • Steven Caulker has opened the scoring twice in 11 games this season and is Cardiff’s joint top goalscorer in the league so far
  • Manchester United have only failed to score and been beaten at home once in the Premier League since December 2009

Manchester United’s demise under David Moyes might not be quite as real as some supporters would like to make out. They’re hardly playing well, but they have gone nine games unbeaten in all competitions. That kind of stat makes this punt look a little ridiculous, but David Moyes’ men have kept just one clean sheet in seven away games this term and Steven Caulker will fancy his chances from a set piece.

Scorecast: Ross Barkley to score first and Everton to beat Liverpool 8-0
One punter has £1 on at 2500/1

  • Everton’s previous biggest derby win without conceding at home was a 4-0 victory in January 1902
  • The last time Liverpool were beaten 8-0 in the league was in November 1934 away to Huddersfield Town
  • Ross Barkley has scored just two goals from 27 shots this season, giving him a conversion rate of 7.4 per cent

The Merseyside Derby really has gone to a few punters’ heads. The early game on a Saturday rarely produces eight goal thrillers, but one fan is certain that Merseyside will be singing the blues this weekend, to the tune of an 8-0 win. Worrying stats to point out include Ross Barkley’s poor scoring rate and Everton’s dismal recent derby form, which makes this a very Stupid Punt.

Mark O'Reilly and Ross Barkley  15/8/2011

Scorecast: Dejan Lovren to score first and Southampton to beat Arsenal 4-0
One punter has stuck £2 on at 4000/1

  • The away team has won this fixture 4-0 three times previously, but on each occasion the away team was Arsenal
  • Dejan Lovren has already scored for Southampton this season, but unsurprisingly the defender does not get many shots away, racking up just nine attempts on goal in 11 appearances this season
  • The last time Arsenal were beaten 4-0 at home in the league was by Manchester City in November 1912

The Southampton love-in continued last week when three Saints players got England call ups, but this is taking everything to a whole new level. Yes Southampton are playing incredibly well this season, and yes everyone is very impressed. Does this mean they can go and defeat Arsenal and inflict their first 4-0 defeat on home soil for more than a century?

Probably not.

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