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White Hart Pain: Here is why the trends are stacked against Liverpool

Liverpool are flying high but their recent record at Spurs is as unimpressive as pretty much every album Keane ever did. Can Brendan's boys upset the odds on Sunday?

by Josh Powell | December 11, 2013

Five wins on the spin at home. 17 goals in their last five Premier League games. Just five points off Arsenal at the top of the league. It’s no wonder that Liverpool fans are getting giddy, and it’s nothing to do with the festive season.

Unfortunately though, those good vibes might be abruptly cut short at the weekend – a lot like getting drunk at your office Christmas party and making a pass at Sandra, only to find yourself in front of HR the next day.

Here at the Paddy Power Blog, we’re all for letting the good times roll, however Liverpool are going to have to buck some serious trends against Tottenham to keep their winning run going.

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  • In the last decade, Liverpool have faced Tottenham 12 times at White Hart Lane and won just 17 per cent of those games
  • Spurs have come out on top on seven occasions and have won the last six meetings
  • Four of the last five league games at White Hart Lane have finished 2-1 to Tottenham with the 4-0 thumping for Spurs in 2011 being the only exception

Liverpool fans will be bulshy enough that they can buck the trend with Suarez averaging a league goal every 64 minutes and Tottenham’s form being as wobbly as a topless Jamie Pollock on a space hopper. But that might just be papering over some stat-based cracks.

  • Liverpool have won just one of their last seven away games in all competitions
  • Brendan Rodgers has played Spurs three times at White Hart Lane and lost all three. His Watford team were beaten 2-1, his Swansea side lost 3-1 and last year Liverpool suffered a 2-1 defeat
  • Luis Suarez prefers his home comforts. This season the striker has 11 goals at home, averaging a goal every 41 minutes and boasts a 31 per cent conversion rate. On the road that conversion rate drops to 12 per cent and he only finds the net on average, once every two-and-a-half hours.

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This weekend Liverpool are 15/8 to win at White Hart Lane for the first time since 2008. Back when Andrei Voronin was leading the line for the Reds, the Ting Tings had gone from playing to 12 people and a stray cat in underground hipster clubs to being number one and Portsmouth were FA Cup champions rather than getting nervously close to relegation to the Conference.

Despite Tottenham’s dodgy home form which has seen West Ham and Newcastle leave North London with three points in the bag, Andre Villas-Boas’ side are 6/4 to notch up a victory and dent Liverpool’s title challenge. It is 8/1 for Spurs to record their fifth 2-1 victory over Liverpool at White Hart Lane in the last six matches.

  • Get the latest odd on Tottenham v Liverpool here: Desktop | Mobile
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