You don’t need Manuel Pellegrini’s maths to figure out that a straight win double on Everton and Chelsea isn’t going to bring much Christmas cheer.
The high-flying Toffees are 4/11 to beat Fulham while Chelsea are 1/5 to see off Crystal Palace at the Bridge. The double that pays £/€16.36 for a £10 stake.
So we’re looking for a different angle.
It’s been a mixed start to the season for Joe Mourinho’s side. They scrambled an away win against Sunderland (4-3) before losing at Stoke (3-2) last weekend.
But the Blues are different gravy at home – and haven’t lost a league game since the Black Cats beat them 3-0 in November, 2010.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last 67 home league games.
Everton tackle Fulham at Goodison Park in what has traditionally been as one-sided a contest since Pope Francis saw off Miley Cyrus for Time Person of the Year.
To say the blue half of Merseyside hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for the Cottagers is a bit like saying Shinji Kagawa needs to cut down on his post-match meals. The Toffees haven’t dropped a league point at home to Fulham since the Premier League started.
- Everton are 19 league games unbeaten at home against the London side.
The Toffees are also unbeaten at home in the top flight (16 games) since Chelsea won 2-1 this time last year.
Here’s the play
Unlike David Moyes we’ve a few options up our sleeve that offer a bit more value than the win-draw-win markets.
The most compelling looks to be the Chelsea / Everton (-1) handicap double that pays £/€30.67 to a £/€10 stake.
But if you’re facing a clusterf**k of Christmas shopping next week the (-2) on the handicap double pays a tasty £/€86.40.
If you fancy both sides to win without conceding the ‘Win to Nil’ double pays £/€38.86 to £/€10 while a ‘Win Both Halves’ double adds a bit of jam at £/€72..
Tim Howard has kept three clean sheets in the league at home this season – one more than Petr Cech – and the clean sheet double pays £/€31.43.
There’s a bit more risk for more reward but come 4.45pm on Saturday you might just be the one shouting louder than Paul Merson as the results roll in.
Prices correct as of 10am Friday