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Capital Punishment: Liverpool are wobbly on the road and especially in London

They were top on Christmas day, but Liverpool could be out of the top four on the first day of 2014. Find out how their dodgy record in London might cost them more points against Chelsea

by Josh Powell | December 28, 2013

Liverpool’s away form this season is reminiscent of watching the He-Man and She-Ra Christmas special. It’s painful viewing, but also incredibly frustrating because you know how good it should be.

Anfield season ticket holders probably feel the same way. That annoyance we save up for the ‘Skeletor becomes overcome by Christmas spirit storyline’, they presumably dish out after further lacklustre displays on the road.

Here’s the proof. At home Liverpool are pretty unstoppable…

  • They have won eight of their nine games at Anfield, losing just the one to Southampton in September
  • Brendan Rodgers’ men have conceded just six goals, and averaged almost three a game themselves
  • Liverpool have won the last six at home by at least two goals or more each time

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But away from Anfield it is a different story…

  • Liverpool have won just 33 per cent of their games on the road and picked up just one victory in their last six games
  • Just four teams in the league have conceded more goals away from home than Liverpool
  • The Reds have lost to Hull, drawn with Newcastle and Everton and have the same number of away wins this season as Fulham

Even Luis Suarez has been struggling to find his feet on the road. When we say ‘struggling’ he’s still pretty impressive but he’s just not as world class as he is on home soil. The striker averages a goal every 39 minutes at home and has a conversion rate of 31 per cent. Away from Anfield in the league his average drops to a goal every 126 minutes and a conversion rate of just 14 per cent.

Brendan Rodgers Liverpool

If that doesn’t worry Liverpool fans ahead of their trip to Chelsea – the same place Jose Mourinho has never lost a league game – the Reds’ form in the capital over the last five years might make them a touch more concerned.

  • In the last five years Liverpool have played 28 league games in London, winning 12, losing 12 and drawing four. That isn’t a bad win rate of 43 per cent
  • However, when you take out the weaker sides – that’s you West Ham, Fulham and QPR – Liverpool’s win rate drops to just 29 per cent
  • The Reds’ loss rate doesn’t rise too much, from 43 per cent to 47 per cent, but they do draw a higher percentage of games

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All in all Liverpool fans have every right to go into this game with the same feeling of dread they get when they open the inevitable ‘Now That’s What I Call Music’ CD off their Nan for Christmas.

But football is mental and the festive sherry has melted our brains so the 2-2 scoreline is tempting at 11/1. Liverpool have averaged 2.07 goals a game in their last 14 trips to the capital and although they might not be able to up thier win rate in London, they can take a point from Stamford Bridge.

Get all the odds on Chelsea v Liverpool here: Desktop | Mobile

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