The New Year has arrived and one way to brighten up the cold, damp January mornings is to get a first class ticket into our Punting Hall of Fame. Plenty of punters love to chase the gold, and if you never have a dream, you’ll never have a dream come true.
Even the most speculative bets can come off from time to time and, bar waking up next to Mila Kunis and a freshly cooked bacon sandwich, there aren’t many greater ways to start 2014.
This week, plenty more people are trying to earn their seat and The Paddy Power Blog is here to give you a few stat bombs to accompany your craziest bets.
Scorecast: Charlie Austin to score first and QPR to beat Everton 2-0
One punter is on at 350/1
- Charlie Austin has five goals in his last seven games and has averaged a goal every 172 minutes this season
- QPR have won 2-0 at Goodison Park once before in their history. It was a league match on March 13 1976 back at a time when Tina Charles was number one with ‘I Love to Love’
- Everton’s record at home is pretty solid and the last time they were beaten 2-0 at Goodison was back in October 2011 in the Merseyside Derby
Roberto Martinez might be the last manager to lift the FA Cup and Everton might have lost just two games at home in all competitions in 2013, but that isn’t stopping one punter backing Charlie Austin and QPR. The striker is in good form in the Championship and while it might not be too ridiculous to side with him opening the scoring, backing QPR to win 2-0 as well makes this a Stupid Punt.
Scorecast: Laurent Koscielny to score first and Arsenal to win 5-2 (again!)
One punter has put £1 on at 700/1
- Arsenal won 5-2 at home to Spurs twice in 2012. Two of the Gunners 10 goals were bagged by defenders – Per Mertesacker and Bacary Sagna both on the scoresheet
- Laurent Koscielny has played 25 hours of Premier League football since he last found the back of the net
- Not including those two 5-2 defeats to Arsenal, Spurs have lost by the same scoreline eight other times away from home – Man United (2009), Man City (1994), Southampton (1979), Liverpool (1974 and 1963), Sheffield united (1953), Everton (1934) and Bury (1924)
Arsene Wenger has lost just once to Spurs at home in his Arsenal tenure, and plenty of punters are backing the Gunners to pick up their third 5-2 win over their North London rivals in recent memory. One punter has gone one step further and backed serial goal-dodger Laurent Koscielny to end his drought in front of the onion bag to click a 700/1 scorecast.
Scorecast: Alvero Negredo to score first but Blackburn to beat Man City 4-1
One punter is on at 1250/1
- Blackburn have beaten Man City 4-1 five times in their history, in 1963, twice in 1961, 1950 and 1935. All of these wins did come at home though
- West Ham were the last side to beat Manchester City 4-1 when City were the away side. That was a league match in November 2000
- Negredo has an 18 per cent conversion rate for City in the top flight this season and has averaged a goal every 147 minutes
Manchester City are on a 12 game unbeaten run (winning 11) and have won five of the last six on the road. the signs are ominous for Blackburn Rovers, but one punter is convinced that despite going 1-0 down to a Negredo goal, Blackburn will surge back to win 4-1.
Good luck pal, that is the definition of a Stupid Punt.
- The Punting Hall of Fame’s New Year’s Honours List
- In Arsene we trust: Le Professeur’s record at home to Spurs is ridiculously good
- Forget the magic of the cup, here are the stats that could pocket you some winners