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Aston Villa fans: There’s a good reason why you’re feeling miserable

It's not easy being a Villa Park regular, and it's unlikely to get any better when Arsenal come to visit on Monday night

by Josh Powell | January 10, 2014

The first month of the year is tough for us all – there’s a reason they call it the January blues. But for one group of people in particular, this feeling of misery and gloom is the norm. Step forward, Aston Villa fans.

As a starter for 10, Birmingham is the most depressing city in Britain – and that’s not the opinion of the Paddy Power Blog, but the opinion of Brummies themselves. Apparently, in a survey done by bickie-makers McVitie’s, two-thirds of Birmingham residents said living there makes them feel ‘miserable’, while half of them described their homes as ‘boring’ and ‘bleak’.

You’d hope that some Premier League football every other Saturday would lift the mood of Villa fans, especially considering their season ticket prices range from £325-£595. A snip compared to what Arsenal fans are forking out down the M1.

Gabby Agbonlahor

But unfortunately Villa’s home form is nothing short of shambolic, and their ability to pick up points on the road is the only reason they haven’t been relegated in the last few years.

  • In the last five and a half years Aston Villa have notched up a win rate at home in the league of just 32 per cent
  • If you’re paying top whack of £595 each year for a season ticket since 2008/09, some Paddy Power Blog maths reveals you would have paid £105 for every victory at Villa Park – and that’s before your half-time pie and pint
  • If you go back 10 years to 2003/04 that win rate rises slightly to 37 per cent, but they are still winning roughly just one in every three home matches

Ciaran Clark

  • You can back Arsenal to make things even worse for Ciaran Clark and co right here: Desktop | Mobile

This season only Sunderland have a worse home record than Paul Lambert’s side. With 33,000-ish home fans through the gates every game, that’s a lot of unhappy people. There isn’t much to cheer about at Villa Park, and when you dig a little deeper into the stats, there isn’t even too much to get you out of your seat.

  • Villa only spend 27 per cent of their time in the attacking third when playing at home
  • They’ve managed just 36 shots on target at home this season – the only teams with less are Sunderland, Cardiff ad Stoke. That’s an average of just one accurate attempt every 26 minutes
  • Villa have the worst goalscoring form at home in the Premier League – racking up just seven goals. In the entire top four tiers of English football only five other sides average less than a goal a game at home

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We might not be able to make supporting Aston Villa any easier but there’s always the chance of putting some of Paddy’s cash in your back pocket.

Arsenal are the visitors to the midlands on Monday night and are 4/7 to take all three points. If you prefer a bet with a bit more value, 64 per cent of Arsenal’s wins in all competitions have finished either 2-0 or 3-1. It is 7/1 to finish 2-0 to the Gunners on Monday and 11/1 to end 3-1.

  • Take a chance on more home misery for Villa and get all the latest odds here: Desktop | Mobile

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