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How a value treble on Arsenal, City and Liverpool can keep Paddy on the run

Paddy's still counting the cost of last weekend's wipeout. And things aren't looking great for Saturday either.

by Sean Goff | January 17, 2014

It was a bloodbath at the the Power Tower last weekend as seven odds-on winning favs made for some very happy new entrants to the Punting Hall of Fame.

And things aren’t looking too rosy this weekend as three of the best home sides in the Premier League play host to Cardiff, Fulham and Aston Villa who aren’t known for their prowess on the road. Or at home.

While the big three will be chalked down as bankers in thousands of footy accas –  a £10/€10 treble in the win-draw-win market pays £/€17.46 which would barely buy you Anderson in the transfer window.

But the Paddy Power Blog has crunched the numbers and gone for value off the same bet in the win to nil market (£/€72.55), clean sheet (£/€56.54) or (-1 goal on the handicap) markets £/€34.62. Any of these click and Paddy faces another Saturday more shocking than Devil Baby.

* Prices as per midday on Friday 

Silva and Aguero celebrate

Manchester City v Cardiff, Saturday, 3pm

Alan Pardew may have his opinions of Manuel Pellegrini but the Newcastle boss can only dream of matching City’ stats this season. The Citizens are Europe’s most attacking side with 99 goals in all competitions and there won’t be many backing against them not getting the ton up on Saturday.

Cardiff haven’t made the opposition keeper pick the ball out of his net in six of their 10 away games and Ole Gunnar Solsjkaer could be in for a long afternoon on his return to Manchester.

  • City have a 100 per cent winning record (10/10) at the Etihad in the PL
  • Pellegrini’s side have kept a clean sheet in 6/10 of those wins
  • They’ve scored 38 goals at home and conceded just six
  • Shoot over to all the latest Premier League odds mobile | desktop

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Arsenal v Fulham, Saturday, 3pm

Everyone’s still waiting for Arsenal’s title challenge to collapse like a badly-hung bookshelf. But it hasn’t happened yet and shouldn’t either against a Fulham side whose last away game in the league saw them ship six goals. Against Hull.  The Cottagers have L7 and W3 on the road and even managed to concede four last week at home to Sunderland. Don’t bet against any Arsenal slip ups.

  • The Gunners last six wins at home in all comps have been 2-0 scorelines 
  • Arsenal have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight home games
  • They have W6, D4 of their last 10 PL games at home to the Cottagers

Liverpool v Aston Villa, Sky Sports 1, Saturday, 5.30pm

While Villa may have shocked Anfield with a 3-1 away win here last season, the Reds are a much more consistent team this term. Brendan Rodgers have won their last seven on the bounce at Anfield. Villa swing between mediocre and awful. While two wins at Southampton and Sunderland  in their last four away games have helped keep Paul Lambert in a job – there have also been losses to Fulham and Stoke.

  • Liverpool have won 9/10 of their PL homes games this season
  • Eight of the nine victories have been by a minimum two-goal margin
  • Luis Suarez has scored 11 goals in his last five home games for the Reds

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