It was squeaky-bum time for a few of the lads in the Risk Department last week as big football punts at tasty odds threatened to come good. But after a brief spell on the sidelines, Stupid Punt is back to celebrate some of your craziest Premier League bets this weekend.
The chances of these bets clicking are slim, but with a bit of skill and a whole lot of luck, these punters could quickly find themselves whisked off to the Punting Hall of Fame. A glorious place where The Big Bang Theory is never on TV and the only breakfast they know how to cook are delicious fry-ups. None of this All-Bran nonsense.
Here are three massive punts this weekend and a few stat bombs to accompany your craziest bets on the top flight.
Scorecast: Daniel Sturridge to score first, but Cardiff to beat Liverpool 3-1
One punter has £1 on at 275/1
- Liverpool actually have a terrible record away to Cardiff – winning just two of 14 games, the last time was in 1929. In almost half of those games at Cardiff, the home side have managed three goals or more
- Sturridge has 18 goals in 21 appearances, has averaged a goal every 93 minutes in the league this season and has a 28 per cent conversion rate. He’s the man to find the onion bag!
- Seeing Liverpool conceding three goals on the road isn’t as rare as you’d think. In their last 45 away games they have conceded exactly three goals eight times – an 18 per cent strike rate. Hull, West Brom, Oldham and Stoke (twice!) have all banged in three past the Merseysiders
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer will have some fond memories of scoring against Liverpool, but the Cardiff manager, and this punter, will be hopping the relegation-threaten Welsh side can perform a huge comeback. Sturridge to open the scoring looks like a safe bet, but expecting Cardiff to mount a surging response to win 3-1 makes this a Stupid Punt.
Scorecast: Brede Hangeland to score first and Fulham to beat Man City 2-1
One punter has 50p on at 800/1
- It has been almost three years since Brede Hangeland last found the back of the net for Fulham, and this season he has managed just one shot on target in 15 appearances
- Fulham have beaten Manchester City 2-1 in Manchester just once before. A top flight game in 2006 when both Collins John and Steed Malbranque scored in the last five minutes to snatch three points
- In the last five-and-a-half seasons Man City have lost just one home game to a bottom half side in the Premier League – that was in essentially a dead rubber against Norwich of the last day of the 2012/13 campaign
City don’t exactly get beaten at home very often, and the sight of them losing to a bottom-half club at the Etihad – let alone the side that is propping up the league – is rarer than Unicorn blood. That hasn’t stopped one punter backing Fulham to snatch a 2-1 victory, and just to emphasise the crazy bet he’s stuck in goal-shy Hangeland to boot. Take a bow sir.
Scorecast: Santi Cazorla to score first and Arsenal to beat Chelsea 4-2
Two punters are on at 850/1
- In 181 matches between Chelsea and Arsenal, it has ended 4-2 just twice, and on both occasions Chelsea won – in March 1964 and October 1938
- It has been well over six years since Jose Mourinho last conceded four goals in a home match – Aston Villa did the damage in a 4-4 draw at Stamford Bridge in December 2007
- Santi Cazorla has a pretty measly average of one goal every 475 minutes in the league this year – a far cry from last year’s tally of 12, when he notched once every 276 minutes
Jose Mourinho has never lost to Arsene Wenger and it would take something special from the Gunners to end The Special One’s unbeaten league streak at Stamford Bridge. Two punters are hoping for just that, in the shape of a six-goal thriller in the Saturday lunchtime kick-off and a rare goal from Santi Cazorla. It might be just a little too much to ask…
- Have your own effort of making the Punting Hall of Fame with all the latest Premier League odds here: Desktop | Mobile