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A juicy Lucky 15 from Matt Chapman to get the Bank Holiday drinks in on Guineas weekend

Matt Chapman is back to guide you through the top racing at Newmarket this weekend. Yeehaaaa

by Matt Chapman | May 1, 2014

It’s Classic time here on my Paddy Power Blog and as Punchestown draws to a close it’s the 2,000 and 1,000 Guineas on the Flat that take centre stage. It’s fair to say Paddy must have a few quid in his satchel after some iffy results this week, so let’s go to work unloading it. You hear me Paddy?

I’d be fairly sure Kingman (13/8) will take all the beating in the 2,000 Guineas, but the one to be on each-way is War Command, the Dewhurst hero at 8/1. I’m not too worried that Joseph O’Brien has chosen Australia (3/1), because he has to really as the animal is the Ballydoyle Derby horse. But over a mile in the Guineas on fast ground I like War Command. The ground is the key to him as he is a USA bred son of War Front. He has not had fast ground since his debut and he’s been crying out for it. Ryan Moore is a great booking.

There has been a lot of hype about Spanish raider Noozhoh Canarias (20/1) – but I don’t fancy him at all!

Flat racing Image 840

There’s a fine renewal of the Jockey Club Stakes, including Irish Derby hero Trading Leather (6/5) now in the colours of Godolphin. If he’s anywhere near his best he should win, but I’d rather back Times Up each-way at 16/1. He will stay strong over this trip and can run on into places at least.

The big sprint is the Palace House Stakes, and the one I like here is Sole Power at 7/2. Oh no, did I just say that? Yes, that is Sole Power owned by Paddy Power! He has disappointed in Dubai, but 5f on fast ground is what he wants. He gets it. The thought of Paddy winning with his horse but losing money is a wonderful one.

The 1,000 Guineas on Sunday is wide open, and the one I like is Godolphin raider Ihtimal at 10/1 who will be race fit and has done little wrong in her career.

She has been huge out in Dubai, and was no mug here in the UK last season, finishing third behind Chrisellian in the Fillies’ Mile and winning a Group 2 at Doncaster and Group 3 at Newmarket. Her stamina could be the key factor against one or two iffy stayers.

So the Flat is here big time. Let’s flatten Paddy. Yeeehaaa!

Suarez MBS

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