Everyone knows about the magic of the FA Cup, but that mysterious cup spark can also have a little known crazy effect on punters. The Final might have its favourites in the bookies eyes, but punters are all to aware that anything can happen – particularly after Wigan toppled Man City last year.
But even that can’t explain some of the stranger bets we’ve seen filter through PaddyPower.com this week. Whether it’s the FA Cup magic, a few too many pints on a Thursday night or a midweek premonition, these are the three craziest bets you’ve placed on this weekend’s FA Cup Final.
Up for grabs if one of them clicks? Fame, plenty of drinks off your pals in the Dog and Duck and immortality in the Paddy Power Punting Hall Of Fame. There were two new entrants this week as two punters took a combined total of almost £800,000 off Paddy in the final week of the Premier League and the doors are wide open.
Clicking a huge gamble requires skill, knowledge and a truckload of luck, but it is far from impossible. So here are three of the more outlandish bets in the book and some stats that try to back them up.
Scorecast: Aaron Ramsey to score first and Arsenal to win 5-2
Three punters are on at 400/1
- Arsenal have never beaten Hull 5-2, however they came pretty close in a 1978 League Cup match when the Gunners won 5-1 at Highbury
- Aaron Ramsey has two goals in his last three games for Arsenal. The Welshman posted a 71 per cent shot accuracy during the league season and converted an impressive 26 per cent of his efforts
- The last time Hull lost a game 5-2 was seven years ago in a Championship match away to Ipswich Town
One punter? Crazy. Two punters? Ridiculous. Three punters? Maybe they’re actually on to something! The Aaron Ramsey part of this bet isn’t a bad one at all. The midfielder has been in red-hot form and is coming off the back of that cracking volley against Norwich on the last day of the season. The scoreline is boosting the odds though and Tigers fans haven’t seen their team go down 5-2 since 2007.
Per Mertesacker to score a hat-trick
One punter has £1 on at 500/1
- The only man to have scored an FA Cup Final hat-trick at Wembley before was Stan Mortensen in Blackpool’s 4-3 win over Bolton 61 years ago
- During the league season Per Mertesacker averaged an attempt on goal every 165 minutes, and scored, on average, once every 26 hours. He’s going to have to be far more attack-minded and clinical for this punt to click
- The only player to have scored an FA Cup hat-trick under Arsene Wenger was Nicklas Bendtner in the Gunner’s 5-0 win in March 2011
An FA Cup Final hat-trick at Wembley is rare to say the least. Stan Mortensen’s effort for Blackpool in 1953 is the only time it has happened to date and Per Mertesacker would be writing his name into history as well as clearing out Paddy’s pockets if this bet comes in. e’s hardly been prolific in front of goal this season however, and the BFG will need to be far more economical in the box if this Stupid Punt is to come good.
Scorecast: Tom Huddlestone to score first and Hull to win 3-0
One punter has £3 on at 1250/1
- 92 per cent of Huddlestone’s attempts on goal this season have come from outside the area. Only Luis Suarez and Jonjo Shelvey had more pops from long range in the league
- In the last decade Huddlestone has made 20 FA Cup appearances and scored just one goal, however that was for Hull this season against Sheffield United in the semi-final last month
- Hull have never beaten Arsenal 3-0, however they have beaten the Gunners by a three goal margin once before. That was in a 4-1 victory more than a century ago in 1908
Hull can hardly boast of a stellar record against Arsenal, and there won’t be any fan who remembers that 4-1 victory in 1908. If they are to win 3-0 at Wembley they would upset the odds massively, and expecting Tom Huddlestone to start the rout – a man who has converted just seven per cent of his shots this season – makes this a Stupid Punt.
- Have your own effort of making the Punting Hall of Fame with all the latest Premier League odds here: Desktop | Mobile