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Matt Chapman exclusive: Why I’m sticking with this 5/1 shot to Eclipse his rivals at Sandown

I'm all over Frankie Dettori to steal the limelight on the Derby runner-up in the Group One feature. Yeeehaaa!

by Matt Chapman | July 4, 2014

It’s been a scorching week off the track in the UK and on the track we have a hot renewal of the Eclipse at Sandown.

So, as we look forward to the weekend action let’s hope we have a few winners to leave Paddy sweating. You hear me Paddy?

The Fugue is top rated in the Eclipse, and she may well win, although stall 1 makes things interesting as she could get trapped on the rail, and the last time she came to Sandown she was last of seven in this race.

I would be surprised if Mukhadram, Trading Leather and Verrazano are good enough, while Night of Thunder is far from certain to stay. I think the one to be on is Derby runner-up KINGSTON HILL (3.50pm) – if he takes his chance.

Much has been made about this horse wanting soft ground, but apart from a run in the Guineas where the trip was obviously too short, there is very little evidence a decent surface will not suit other than the fact he goes well in soft.

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Kingston Hill is by Mastercraftsman, who was not a mudlark, out of a Rainbow Quest mare, so his pedigree does not scream soft-ground plodder. He’s the one who will love a strong pace which looks assured, and he gets 8lb from The Fugue which may well be enough.

His Derby run when second looks special with the winner Australia being a very classy individual.

Havana look at this …

The 5f sprint at Sandown is worth a look and I think STEPS (2.05pm) (out of from stall one) has a great chance to break into the Group 3 category under Kieren Fallon. He was not far behind Stepper Point at Ascot – and can reverse the form here.

The 1m 3f Old Newton Cup takes centre stage at Haydock and HAVANA COOLER (3.30pm) will have a big say after we tipped him up to be a good third at Ascot. The trip is a bit shorter here which is not ideal, but he did not get the clearest of runs at the Royal meeting and this is easier. He’s up 1lb, but should be good enough.

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Also at Haydock is the Lancashire Oaks, in which the lightly-raced SEAL OF APPROVAL (2.55pm) should go very close. She gave Hayley Turner a nasty fall at Doncaster last season so she owes the jockey a big success.

Talent, the 2013 Oaks heroine, and Charity Line are big dangers at their best, but I’m convinced Seal of Approval will go close.

On  Sunday have a glance at the German Derby. I have a feeling Sea the Stars’ offspring SEA THE MOON (4.05pm) will take all the beating for trainer Markus Klug.

So have another great weekend, and let’s hope it’s back of the net for us here against Paddy as well as those over in Brazil! Yeeehaaa!

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