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Tour de France betting preview: Who’ll win, who’ll wear Sean Kelly’s pyjamas and the 25/1 shots that offer some tasty each-way value

Paddy Power's own lyrca-lovin' lothario Barry McCarthy gives us the lowdown on the TdF that starts in, erm Yorkshire, on Saturday.

by Paddy Power | July 4, 2014

This year’s battle for the yellow jumper is between suspected doper Chris Froome and reformed doper Alberto Contador. I previously called out the Spaniard as the bet for Yellow and it looks like I am not alone as we have seen a flood of money come in for “El Pistolero.” All this means you can get Froome at 10/11 and shortening!

Outside of the race for general classification there is a heap of action at the Tour to get stuck into. Here’s a look at the dopest bets and where the smart money is going!

The Green Jersey also known as Maillot Vert or for Irish fans Sean Kelly’s pyjamas (four-time winner) – is one for the sprinters, awarded to the leader of the points classification.

It’s been won by fan favourite Peter Sagan (below) for the past two year and I can’t see any real reason to believe the Slovak won’t win it again. However, Grand Tours are nothing if not unpredictable and if this is to be Tour for the young guns, then I really fancy FDJ’s Arnaud Démare as an each-way shot at 25/1.

Winner of last week’s French National Road Race Championship, the 22-year-old Beauvais native will be gunning to equal his team mate Nacer Bouhanni’s green jersey at the Giro in May. He’s a real threat over the lumpy tour route and the team think so highly of Démare they have left their champ Bouhanni at home. Harsh.

Peter-Sagan-840

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I watched Garmin-Sharp’s David Millar’s twitter feed with disbelief this week.

One of cycling’s most prominent anti-doping campaigners (following his own bust and suspension in 2004) his career has since mirrored a Hollywood script.

Its final chapter was set to play out in his 13th and final Tour – a race where the Scot has four stage wins.  But after a a poor showing at the Nationals (where he withdrew from the TT and Road Race due to illness) the team chose to remove him from their Tour roster. After ignoring his calls – the Scot has put his bike up for sale on Twitter.

If Millar was good at anything, he was good at winning opening stages – and there’s value here in Saturday’s opening stage in the tricky 190km loop from Leeds to Harrogate.

While I’d love to see Cavendish win at 9/4 the slightly uphill finish will suit either Marcel Kittel at 9/4 or Sagan at 6/1. Fancy an outside bet? Look no further than a rider capable of  some serious wattage like Alexander Kristoff at 25/1.

Michal-Kwiatkowski-800

A place on the podium?

Finally, one of cycling’s brightest stars, Michal Kwiatkowski (22/1) is a former Junior World Time Trial Champion and currently plys his trade alongside Mark Cavendish at OPQS.

He’s bang on form he could do some damage. If his body holds up to the rigours of the Tour – we could well see the Polish rider on the podium at a nice price.

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