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US PGA BETTING: The 20/1 shot who’s more popular than Rory McIlroy (and could kill Paddy)

We've chatted to the brains across the room in Sportsbook to find where the money is going in Kentucky for the final Major of the season...

by Paul Mallon | August 6, 2014

Neither a wretched attempt at a moustache or a hideous fashion sense seems to dissuade golf punters.

Yes, Rory McIlroy is the key player at the USPGA in Kentucky this week and 29% of stakes have been on the Northern Irish world No1 after his two recent wins.

But Rickie Fowler (main pic) winning is Paddy Power’s worst result. We’ve taken more bets on him than McIlroy.

Propaganda trumpet!

  • Paddy Power is best price on four of the top five golfers. Ladbrokes, tsk, manage two.
  • This is the 29th event of 2014 where PP has offered an extra place, more than DOUBLE any other competitor and close to 10 times William Hill. We are, of course, going six places on the USPGA.
  • Extra places means more winners. PP customers have earned 13% more profit than WH customers so far this year (15% more than Ladbrokes).

 Paddy Power value trumpet!

  • Paddy Power has Rory McIlroy at 5/1 which is the shortest odds he’s been all season but it’s hard to argue against given his form. He has won three events this season and placed three times also. If you placed £5 each-way on the curly lad on each of his 16 events this year you’d be in profit to the tune of £129 with PP (an 81% profit on your investment) which beats the pants off our competitors in the graph below. We’ve been best price on McIlroy in 12 of the 16 events, while WH have managed just four. Go stand in the corner, posh boys.

USPGA-VALUE

  • Fowler is our worst result, at 20s. The Californian has been a decent golfer to be betting on as you would be up +£193.75 if you bet £5 each-way on him every week with Paddy Power. Our place terms means this is more than twice the profit you’d have made from Bet365 or BetVictor, and close to TREBLE the profit you’d have made with Ladbrokes. It’s been a case of “always the bridesmaid” for Fowler this year with five places but no victory as yet. Obviously punters believe this is his time!
  • Marc Leishman is another golfer that would be a terrible result for us. Punters piled on at 50/1. Like Fowler, he’s placed in five events without winning but his ‘profit and loss’ stats are impressive. For £5 each-way you’d be up a whopping £236.25 this year. To the PP blog’s eyes, It looks like a great each-way bet at that price.
  • Old-man Tiger is the biggest price he’s been all season at 40/1. Punters are avoiding him due to the back injury but he might be worth a cheeky punt at that price if the injury wasn’t as bad as feared.
  • As for the Paddy Power Blog, well, we prefer our balls a little bigger. We’ll have a peep at Patrick Reed at about 66/1.

USPGA

All prices based on Oddschecker snapshots at 12pm on Wednesday. P&L stats assume even stakes on the individual selection every week that selection competes.

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