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Some Arsenal and Manchester City statistics which may (or not) inform your betting on the Community Shield.

We've rustled up some stats ahead of the Premier League curtain-raiser kick-off...

by Paul Mallon | August 9, 2014

Some might say the most exciting thing about the Community Shield is the debut of vanishing spray.

But while most football fans are sweaty anticipating the return of the Premier League, does this annual hoof-about between the winners of the league and the FA Cup actually mean a fugging thing? Perhaps to David Moyes who picked up his only Manchester United silverware in last year’s competition.

Paddy Power has priced up Arsenal at 2/1 with Manuel Pellegrini’s Manchester City favourites at 11/8 and the draw at 12/5 for Sunday’s 3pm kick-off. After slogging out a victory against mighty Hull in last year’s FA Cup Final, the odds on Arsene Wenger’s team to ‘lift the cup’ shorten to 6/5 (against City’s 4/6).

We’ve had a peek into the Paddy Power Sportsbook to see where your money is going on this game. The amount of stakes in the W-D-W market on Saturday was pretty 50/50 between the two sides. On Sunday at 2pm, the stakes had started to flow in City’s direction.

If we had any money left before pay-day it’d be going on both teams to score at a typically-tight 4/7. But, impulse aside, here’s some statistics which may (or not) inform your betting on the Community Shield. We had suggested Vincent Kompany as an anytime scorer, but he’s such a big-game player that he’s giving the Community Shield a skip.

Community_shield

  • In the Premier League-era neither club has won the Community shield and then gone on to win the Premier League.
  • Arsenal hold the all-time head-to-head edge with 85 wins to City’s 46. However, in more recent times City have had the upper-hand winning seven of the last 14 meetings with four draws and three Arsenal wins.
  • Four of the last five Community Shield games have seen four or more goals, but the trend between Arsenal and Manchester City has been tight: eight of the last 10 meetings have provided two goals or less.
  • Alexis Sanchez is a popular choice for first goalscorer at 13/2. The Arsenal new-boy impressed at the World Cup for Chile before which he had his most productive club season with Barcelona, scoring 21 goals and assisting 15 more.
  • David Silva has scored in each of last two appearances against Arsenal and has a total of three in five against the Gunners.

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