If you’ve arrived here looking for detailed yet tender analysis of the All-Ireland Football Final we apologise.
Much like the first bell of a white collar boxing match, betting tactics go straight out the window for Kerry v Donegal (3.30pm, Croke Park, Dublin).
What we can tell you is where the money is going, as of 11am on Sunday (much of this market now fuelled by a night in the balmy environs of Dublin’s Camden Street). See this post for the state of play earlier in the week.
A blurry glace at Paddy Power’s Sportsbook reveals that you guys quite fancy Kerry as ‘underdogs’ at a decent price too, 13/8. Pundits such as Christy O’Connor and Jack O’Shea (in The Sunday Times) have plumped for Eamonn Fitzmaurice’s men while, over in the Sunday Independent, Colm O’Rourke fancies Donegal. Pah!
After a cracking All-Ireland Hurling final stalemate, punters are nibbling away at the draw here. So, there’s little to separate these two counties, bar 260 kilometres and lots of funny accents.
Those in the know suggest an early goal for Kerry is crucial and golden boots James O’Donoghue is about 9/2 to score first. He’s rattled 4-24 so far in the Championship, including two penalties. Neither county, however, is among the top six goal-scoring teams in the Championship this year. Kerry’s average for is 1-19 (against 1-13) vs Donegal at 1-16 (against just 0-13). Expect this one to be tighter than Jim McGuinness’ shorts back in the 90s.
Our money’s on Kerry, just.