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Matt Chapman: Don’t Abandon this 6/1 shot at Ascot before we head to Sunday’s Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe

by Matt Chapman | October 3, 2014

It’s a tough job, but someone has to do it.

If you’re not reading this until Saturday I’m probably just finishing off a croissant in the heart of Paris. Oh yes, it’s Arc weekend and I can’t wait for the big race on Sunday.

Taking euros off Paddy Power is what I like – and with Sole Power going again we might do so in more ways than one.

Let’s start with Ascot though and there’s some real each-way value in Roger Varian’s STEPS (2.05pm), who will test whether Muthmir is truly the next great sprinter.

Muthmir may well win, but at the prices Steps is not to be missed to hit the frame – he’s a course and distance winner and ran well at Doncaster last time.

The Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes is a small field but I expect former St Leger winner ENCKE (2.40pm) to get back to winning ways and reverse recent form with Pether’s Moon. We were on Pether’s when he scored, but Encke is fitter now and ran well in the Irish St Leger albeit well beaten by Brown Panther.

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There’s a terrific field for the Bengough Stakes and the one I like here is former Group 1 winner RECKLESS ABANDON (3.15pm). He’s a winner at 6f in his younger days and there have been signs he is about to come back to his best. Take the hint and get on each-way.

Get ready to lump on

Over at NewmarketOSAILA (1.50pm) looks a good thing for Frankie Dettori and Richard Hannon in the Tattersalls Millions Fillies’ race. She was a fine fifth in Group 1 company in Ireland. Godolphin’s runner who may help make a market – but lump on the selection.

In the race after, Heartbreak Hero might be worth taking on over 7f, despite being in with a great chance on ratings.

Can you keep a Secret?

The one I like is the improving Mark Johnston challenger SECRET BRIEF (2.20pm), who stayed on well when winning over 6f last time but is already proven over 7f and will enjoy being stepped back up in trip.

Finally on the domestic scene provided there are eight runners back MISS FRANCE (3.30pm) each-way in the Sun Chariot. The 1,000 Guineas winner has disappointed since her big day, but this is the first time she will be back on fast groud and that coudl make all the difference.

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On Sunday, it’s the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe. I really wanted to tip Kingston Hill if he was drawn well. But he’s in stall 20 which makes things very, very hard.

That means I will be with ECTOT (3.30pm) who won his trial well despite Adelaide looking an unlucky loser. Ectot will be held up much longer this time and his turn of foot could be crucial on the better ground where Paddy’s paying 1/4 the odds the first four home.

I’ve got the Power

Finally, let’s lump on Paddy’s SOLE POWER to break his duck in the 5f Prix de l’Abbaye (1pm) where Paddy’s giving another extra place special and paying the first four home.

Ttaking Paddy’s cash from his own horse is just the best feeling. You hear me Paddy? Yeeehaaa!

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