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Man United to draw 4-4 with West Brom and Tottenham to beat Chelsea 4-3! Here are your craziest bets this weekend

Punters have been drinking from the cup of crazy again, as the Premier League returns with a bang

by Josh Powell | October 17, 2014

The Guinness taps have finally run dry after John O’Shea’s heroics in Germany, but a few of our Paddy Power punters are still living in dream world according to some of the crazy Premier League bets we’ve seen this weekend.

Only the most optimistic (and slightly crazy) punters feature in our Stupid Punt section, as they attempt to enter the Punting Hall of Fame by clicking a ridiculous-looking bet at monster odds. All that’s required is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck, but if you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.

Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to back them up.

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Scorecast: Brede Hangeland to score first, but Chelsea to come back and win 3-1
One punter has stuck £1 on at 400/1

  • Chelsea have beaten Crystal Palace 3-1 once before in their history. That was in a Premier League game in 1992 at Stamford Bridge. Crystal Palace’s Richard Shaw scored an own goal before Graham Stuart and Mick Harford added to Chelsea’s tally. Eric Young scored Palace’s consolation goal.
  • Brede Hangeland hasn’t featured for Crystal Palace since the second game of the season but he might be well worth considering by the gaffer. This season he has one goal from one shot and three of his eight career Premier League goals have been against ‘top four’ sides. Almost a third of goals Chelsea have conceded this year have been headers.
  • Since the start of the Premier League just five sides have gone to Selhurst Park and won 3-1 in the top flight. They are QPR, Tottenham (twice), Sheffield Wednesday, Everton (twice) and West Ham.

Chelsea have looked more and more like title winners every week so far this season and this punter is probably wise in jumping on another victory for Jose Mourinho’s side. Plumping for Brede Hangeland to open the scoring is a left-field move however, as he is far from a guaranteed starter. The form backs up though and the big defender is costing Paddy a pretty penny, so should he start, there’s every chance this Stupid Punt could look inspired.

Chelsea's goals conceded in the Premier League

Scorecast: Angel Di Maria to score first and Man Utd to draw 4-4 with West Brom
One punter has got £1 riding on this at 700/1

  • These two sides have drawn almost 25 per cent of their games together in their history, however it has never finished 4-4. In Alex Ferguson’s last game in charge we had a 5-5 thriller and we’ve seen it finish 3-3 in 1951 and 1966, however it has never finished 4-4.
  • The last time West Brom drew a match 4-4 it was April 15 2000. That scoreline came in a match at home to Bolton Wanderers in Division One.
  • Angel Di Maria has scored three goals in 10 games for Man United, and taken just 10 shots on goal. This gives him a conversion rate of 30 per cent compared to Wayne Rooney (25 per cent), Robin van Persie (20 per cent) and Radamel Falcao (11 per cent).

Angel Di Maria has been the star of the show since arriving at Old Trafford and plenty of punters are backing him to open the scoring against the Baggies. Very few however are backing the game to then finish 4-4. It is hardly a common result in top flight football and the fact that it’s been more than 14 years since West Brom drew a game 4-4 tells its own story.

Scorecast: Sergio Aguero to score first, but Tottenham to come back and beat Man City 4-3
One punter has £1 on at 800/1

  • In 147 matches between these two sides, Tottenham have won 4-3 just once. That was an FA Cup First Round game on January 16 1909, and Spurs forward William Minter bagged a brace.
  • Since the beginning of the 2013/14 season Sergio Aguero has bagged 22 goals for Man City in the Premier League – an average of a goal every 89 minutes. He also has averaged a goal every 74 minutes in matches against Tottenham.
  • The last time Spurs won a top flight game 4-3 was against West Ham at Upton Park in 2007. They were 2-0 behind at half-time in that game and 3-2 down with five minutes remaining. Goals from Dimitar Berbatov and Canadian Paul Stalteri stole a victory.

Man City have had the beating of Tottenham in recent times – notching two 5-1 thumpings and a 6-0 hammering in the last few years. However this plucky fan fancies Spurs to turn the tables on the Premier League holders this weekend by beating them 4-3 in their own back yard. Sergio Aguero to notch first looks like a banker, however whether Tottenham can go on to record a famous 4-3 victory is another question altogether.

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