Not many people would have predicted an 8-0 win for Southampton at home to Sunderland last week, but for any of those mad punters that gamble don it, a place in the Punting Hall of Fame is all yours. You are the people that make the crazy look inspired and while you have the bravery to toe the line between ridiculous and optimistic, we can only stand back and applaud.
The Stupid Punt section of the Blog is all about highlighting some of these loopy-looking bets at monster odds. All that’s required to make them click is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck. If you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.
Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to try to back them up.
Scorecast: Sergio Aguero to score first but West Ham to come back and win 4-1
One punter has stuck £1 on at 600/1
- West Ham have beaten Man City 4-1 at home three times already – in 1959, 1982 and 2000. In 2000 Spencer Prior gave City a first half lead at Upton Park, but after the break, goals from Steve Lomas, Trevor Sinclair, Ian Pearce and Paolo Di Canio secured a Hammers victory
- Sergio Aguero has nine goals in eight league appearances this season and is arguably the top flights deadliest striker. He’s had just 30 attempts on goal inside the penalty area and scored eight goals – giving him a conversion rate of 27 per cent in the box
- West Ham have won 4-1 at home just once in the last six years. That was a league game against Southampton in October 2012 when a brace from Mark Noble guided the home side to victory
Manchester City are unbeaten in five league games (including fixtures against Arsenal, Chelsea and Spurs) but one punter is expecting Big Sam Allardyce’s West Ham to throw a spanner in the works this weekend. The Hammers are in the top four after an impressive start to the season and a win would put them just a point behind Man City. We can definitely see Sergio Aguero finding the net first, but West Ham to turn the game on its head and win 4-1. Maybe not so much.
Scorecast: Danny Welbeck to score first and Arsenal to beat Sunderland 6-0
One punter has got £1 riding on this at 700/1
- Just once in 145 meetings has this match finished 6-0 and that was to Sunderland! In an FA Cup game in 1893 Sunderland beat the (then) Royal Arsenal 6-0 at Newcastle Road in front of just 4,500 people
- Arsenal have never won an away Premier League game 6-0. They have notched one six-goal hammering but that was at home to Blackpool in 2010. Theo Walcott bagged a hat-trick and even Marouane Chamakh scored!
- Since joining Arsenal Welbeck has five goals in eight appearances. His five goals have come from just 29 shots giving him a conversion rate of 17 per cent in the league and Champions League
Sunderland fans trying to pick themselves up after last week’s 8-0 thumping at the hands of Southampton probably don’t want to even think of this outcome on Saturday. One punter fancies the Black Cats to be on the end of another heavy beating, this time at home to Arsenal. We wouldn’t be surprised to see Sunderland get hit for six and this bet is treading the line between optimistic and inspired.
Scorecast: Branislav Ivanovic to score first and Chelsea to beat Man Utd 5-0
One punter has £1 on at 1500/1
- Since joining Chelsea in 2008, Ivanovic has scored 18 goals in 185 Premier League games – an average of a goal every 10 games or thereabouts. He already has two to his name this season, bagging against Burnley away and against Everton at Goodison Park.
- In 170 meetings, Chelsea have beaten Man Utd 5-0 just once before. That was at Stamford Bridge in a league game in 1999. Gus Poyet bagged a brace and Henning Berg turned the ball into his own net on a miserable day for Man Utd fans
- It has been almost 60 years since Man Utd lost a home game 5-0. The last time it occurred Man City were the victors in a thrilling Manchester Derby on February 12 1955
Chelsea’s unbeaten Premier League run takes them to Old Trafford where Louis van Gaal’s Man Utd are just a point better off this year than they were at the same point under David Moyes. LVG’s side have a wealth of attacking talent, although very little defensive cover, so goals are expected – but a 5-0 Chelsea win? That’s a Stupid Punt.
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