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Winner Alright! Four TV tips for Saturday’s racing to kick-start the weekend

If you don't have a dream - how you going to make a dream come true?

by Sean Goff | October 24, 2014

With the forecast rain making Saturday’s cards as hard to figure out as Mario Ballotelli -we’ve still managed to hit the oval-shaped bullseye (below) with three of our four selections on CH4 racing.

Our plan is very simple. We’re taking three key racing stats, throwing in the horses for each race, making a lovely-looking Venn diagram, and hopefully coming out with winners galore.

This weekend we’ve got the fag end of the Flat season at Doncaster and Newbury as well as the brave new world of the National Hunt game.

We’ll be cheering them on from our couch this Irish bank holiday weekend where all four winners in a £/€1 Lucky 15 (cost £/€15) at the prices shown pays just shy of £/€500 if they all win.

Race 1: Whizz Kidz Stakes

Handy Hint: If you’re on mobile, click on the image and zoom in to make it bigger

Venn-Newbury1.50pm

Paddy’s Punt: Lexington Times 7/4 

Lexington Times‘ placed form could be the best on show and he previously won a decent maiden at Newmarket over the trip. The predicted soft ground at Newbury should suit and he could have most to fear from stablemate Smaih whose form ties in with Celestial Path who runs in the Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster (below) later.

  • All the latest cards, runner & form is just a click away here on desktop | mobile 

Race 2: Doncaster Stakes

Handy Hint: If you’re on mobile, click on the image and zoom in to make it bigger

Racing-Venn-Doncaster-2.10Final

Paddy’s Punt: Code Red 5/1 

No bullseye this time but Charlie Appleby’s Portamento is chasing a hat-trick of wins and handles soft ground. But we’re going to try and boost the coffers with Code Red. When he won his Nottingham maiden last time heavy rain had changed the going from good to very soft but he still sluiced home by four and a half lengths. He swerved the Group One Dewhurst and Middle Park Stakes to come here and that could be significant come 2.15 on Saturday afternoon. Charlie Hills Salt Island could also be open to improvement after a maiden win at Windsor.

Race 3: Old Roan Chase

Racing-Venn-OLD-ROAN-CHASEFINAL

Paddy’s Punt: Uxizandre 3/1

If last year’s winner Conquisto has the same conditions that saw him see off Mr Moonshine, Viva Colonia & Wishfull Thinking last year – he could be a player. But AP McCoy deserts him and heads to Chepstow this time. But Alan King’s booking of Barry Geraghty for Uxizandre looks significant. A Grade One Novice Chase winner last April here he could head to the Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in a three weeks and a big run can be expected. The springer in the market has been top-weight Module but he doesn’t tick any boxes so we’re happy to let him run without carrying any of our money- particularly if good stays in the ground description.

Race 4: Racing Post Trophy

Handy Hint: If you’re on mobile, click on the image and zoom in to make it bigger

Racing-VennRPTROPHYFINAL

Paddy’s Punt: Elm Park 7/4

The final Group One race of the Flat season in the UK and expect the winner – unless its a total rag – to be high up in the quotes for next year’s Epsom Derby. You probably don’t need a Venn diagram to tell you that ante-post favourite Andrew Balding’s ELM PARK sets the standard but when Matt Chapman & Paddy’s Punt rows in behind it too – you know you’re onto something.

Tupi and Restorer tick all the boxes – but have they the class?  The last five favs have won this juvenile test including Derby runner-up and St Leger winner Kingston Hill last year. Irish trainer Aidan O’Brien – who’s won this contest seven times has left in Jacobean and Aloft from six initial entries.  But he hadn’t seen our chart at the time.

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