The Stupid Punt section of the Blog is all about highlighting some of those loopy-looking bets at monster odds. All that’s required to make them click is a little bit of brains, a little bit of balls and a massive dollop of luck. If you never have a dream, how will you ever have a dream come true? And here on the Paddy Power Blog we’re all dreamers.
Not many people would have predicted an 8-0 win for Southampton at home to Sunderland last month, and nobody was predicting Anderlecht to come from 3-0 down to draw 3-3 with Arsenal with half an hour to go. But for any of those mad punters that gambled on it, a place in the Punting Hall of Fame is all yours. You are the people who make the crazy look inspired and while you have the bravery to toe the line between ridiculous and optimistic, we can only stand back and applaud.
Here are three of the most outrageous bets we’ve dug out of Paddy’s Premier League book this week and a few stats to try to back them up.
Scorecast: Charlie Austin to score first and QPR to beat Man City 3-1
Two punters are on at 250/1
- QPR have beaten Manchester City 3-1 once before, in a division one match at Maine Road in March 2000
- City have only lost back-to-back Premier League away games once in the last three years – that was this weekend last season when they lost to Sunderland after getting beaten by Chelsea
- Charlie Auston has five goals from 31 attempts this season, giving the QPR striker a conversion rate of 16 per cent.
Manchester City have lost three of the last four games in all competitions and Manuel Pellegrini is under a fair bit of pressure in the City hot-seat. Could QPR inflict a 3-1 defeat onto the Champions and heap more pressure on the boss? Two punters think they can and are banking on Charlie Austin grabbing the first, after the Rangers striker bagged three in his last two games.
Scorecast: Robin van Persie to score first and Man Utd to beat Crystal Palace 7-1
One punter has got £5 riding on this at 325/1
- Manchester United’s previous biggest win over Crystal Palace was a 5-1 victory back in April 1924. United legend Joe Spence bagged four that day – and remains United’s eighth highest ever scorer
- Robin van Persie has three goals from 23 shots this year, giving him a conversion rate of 13 per cent. Despite injury disrupting his campaign last season, his conversion rate was 19 per cent, and the year before that it was as high as 18 per cent
- United have two 7-1 victories to their name in Premier League history. West Ham lost 7-1 at Old Trafford in April 2000, when Paulo Wanchope gave the Hammers the lead, but a hat-trick from Paul Scholes helped United to a memorable comeback. And Blackburn Rovers also lost 7-1 at OT when Dimitar Berbatov ended up scoring five
Louis van Gaal’s side have an array of attacking talent in the shape of RVP, Wayne Rooney, Radamel Falcao, and Angel Di Maria, but can they knock seven past Crystal Palace? With all their defensive woes it isn’t out of the question that the visitors will score, but United to bag seven is optimistic at best.
Scorecast: Mario Balotelli to score first and Liverpool to beat Chelsea 5-1
One punter has £2 on at 1250/1
- Balotelli has played more than 10 hours of league football for Liverpool without finding the net this year. He’s had 34 shots and only a third of them have been on target
- Liverpool have beaten Chelsea 5-1 twice before at Anfield. Once in 1996 when Robbie Fowler started the rout and Patrik Berger scored a brace, and before that in 1910 when Jack Parkinson got two and Jimmy Stewart bagged a hat-trick
- Liverpool have won six Premier League matches 5-1 at home in total. Chelsea in 1996, Middlesbrough (1996), Nottingham Forest (1998), Fulham (2006), Norwich (2013) and Arsenal (2014) have all suffered 5-1 thrashings in front of the Kop
Jose Mourinho has won seven of his nine league games against Liverpool, and his Chelsea side are unbeaten in the top flight this season. Throw into the mix that Mario Balotelli has still not scored in more than 10 hours of Premier League football for Liverpool and this bet looks crazier than a bag of raccoons. That still hasn’t stopped one punter throwing £2 on in an attempt to win just over £2.5k.
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