Everybody dreams of winning big, and at the Paddy Power Blog we’re no different. We jump at the chance to potentially click a monster accumulator each week and often daydream about the social media fame that will follow as we sip rum on a beach in Bermuda.
The international break gives us the chance to do just that with 26 Euro 2016 qualifiers between Friday and Sunday.
We’ve done the hard work so you don’t have too. We’ve meticulously combed through the last two years of competitive international games to bring you all the stats surrounding the 52 teams, their clean sheets, how often they score, games in which there are over 2.5 goals, games in which both teams find the onion bag and overall goals per game.
Or you can stick with us as we aim for that hammock in the sun with a four-fold that would return just short of £2.4k from a £5 stake.
Looks simple right? We’re taking advantage of Paddy Power’s 20% Bonus for winning Win-Draw-Win and Both Teams to Score accumulators by picking out four that hit the trends. Now we just need the results to swing in our favour. Here’s why we plucked each game out from the stats.
- In their 13 competitive games since September 2012, Hungary have found the net in 12 of them. Finland have played 11 games in that time and conceded in nine of them.
- Finland don’t score many, but have found the net in two-thirds of their competitive matches in the last two years, while Hungary have kept just four clean sheets from 13 games.
- Hungary’s home record is good enough for us to side with them – they’ve lost just five of the last 25 at home
- Incredibly in 77 per cent of Ireland’s 13 games in the last two years there have been over 2.5 goals, and the boys in green have kept just three clean sheets, and found the onion bag in 10
- Scotland have conceded in almost 70 per cent of their matches and have found the net in nine of their 13 competitive games
- Neither manager would turn down a point here in what is expected to be a closely fought contest
- In 13 games in the last two years, Slovakia have scored in 11 of them and kept just three clean sheets
- Macedonia have kept just one clean sheet in 13 games and while they have failed to score in 38 per cent of them, we fancy them to find the net at home to Slovakia
- Macedonia’s home record is surprisingly good – losing just four of the last 15 – and we’re backing them to pick up another point in qualification
- Israel have got themselves on the scoresheet in 11 of their 12 competitive games since September 2012, while Bosnia have conceded in 11 of their 16 matches
- The Bosnian’s have found the net themselves in 75 per cent of their games and in 67 per cent of Israel’s games both teams have scored
- Israel have picked up enough points at home to convince us that they’re no slouches and that Bosnia would be happy to come out of Tel Aviv with a point
Alternatively, if you’re a hipster fan who applauds a solid defensive performance and hates nothing more than an end-to-end free-flowing game, here’s a ‘win to nil’ accumulator to keep you interested.
A quick-fire breakdown of why we fancy this one goes something like this:
- Georgia (v Poland) have failed to score in 55 per cent of their competitive games in the last two years
- Faroe Islands (v Greece) have failed to find the net in 62 per cent of their competitive games since September 2012
- Ukraine (v Luxembourg) have kept nine clean sheets in 15 games in that time
- England (v Slovenia) have kept clean sheets in 63 per cent of their games in the last two years
- Malta (v Bulgaria) have failed to score in 62 per cent of their competitive games since September 2012
That’s enough stats from us. We’ve got to pack our bags and book our flights in anticipation of that 394/1 shot clicking. Oi oi!