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Top of the tree: Find out what it means if you’re top (or bottom) on Christmas day

It's all about being number one on Christmas day - and we're not talking about Ben 'who now?' Haenow from the X Factor. Here's how your league position on December 25 can determine how 2015 goes

by Josh Powell | December 18, 2014

Your table position on Christmas day is crucially important. And we’re not talking about whether you get sandwiched in between your flatulent nan and your strangely handsy uncle round the dinner table – although that’s hardly an ideal scenario – but where your football team sits in the Premier League while the big man in red heads down the chimney.

We’ve enlisted the help of Eleonore Kellenberger in the magical Paddy Power Design team to help us answer some key questions:

  • Are Chelsea going to run away with the title?
  • Could Manchester United really challenge for the crown?
  • Will Leicester be heading straight back to the Championship?
  • And is the top four out of sight for Liverpool and Everton?

Yes, does being top of the tree mean anything at Christmas? We unwrap the stats to find out…

[Click or tap on the image to enlarge]

Top of the Xmas Infographic 2014

  • Stop gorging on Quality Street and check out the latest Premier League odds here: Desktop | Mobile

So there you have it. The news isn’t exactly great for Chelsea, but it’s far from miserable. 10 of the 22 teams who were top on Christmas day went on to win the league which is a pretty tidy 45 per cent strike rate. More promisingly, in four of the last five years the side top on the 25th has gone on to win the title – with Liverpool’s collapse last season the only exception. That’ll give The Special One an unneeded confidence boost, while Paddy Power can also relax after paying out a jaw-dropping sum to Chelsea-backers last month.

The promising news for Louis van Gaal and many rose-tinted Man United fans is that the Red Devils have hauled back a deficit eight times before – could they do it once again with the Dutchman at the helm?


Incredibly for West Ham and Southampton, you’ve got a 77 per cent chance of making the Champions League if you’re sat in the top four places on Christmas day, which makes this weekend’s ties even spicier. It also means that both Liverpool and Everton have a minor mountain to climb if they’re to buck the trends and overcome the odds.

West Brom and Sunderland are the only two sides in Premier League history to have avoided the drop after being bottom while we’re all tucking into our turkey, so the odds are stacked against Leicester City. The foxes might be heading back to the Championship with their tails between their legs, but there’s hope for the other sides in the bottom three as just twice in 22 years have all of the bottom three sides ended up going down.

  • Will we see Big Sam Allardyce in Europe next year? And can Manchester united upset the odds and win the league? Get stuck into all the latest top flight betting at Desktop | Mobile

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