We are past the half-way mark of the 2014/15 season and while Manchester City and Chelsea slug it out at the top, there is an even more open race at the bottom of the table, as seven or eight teams fight the dreaded drop. Leicester currently prop up the league with a measly 14 points, and the Foxes have won just one of the last 15 – away to Hull at the end of December. The thrilling 5-3 victory over Louis van Gaal’s Manchester United is a distant memory for Leicester fans who fear a trip back to the glamour of the Championship come May.
However, there is a chunk of value to be had in the relegation market backing QPR at 13/8. Harry Redknapp’s legion of fans will no doubt be in uproar reading this, and will happily point to their home form as the basis to top flight survival. But dig a little deeper, and that home form is as flimsy as Russell Brand’s plans for a revolution.
Yes, QPR have won or drawn the majority of their home games, and yes if you look at the Premier League home table, Rangers would actually be in the top half above Liverpool and Tottenham. But it’s the opposition that they have played at Loftus Road, and the opposition that are still to visit that makes for more interesting reading if you’re having a punt.
While Rangers have won five and drawn four from 11 at home, 73 per cent of these matches have been against bottom half sides. As the image shows, the teams that are still to come to Loftus Road include Chelsea, Arsenal, Tottenham, Manchester United and Southampton among others.
Pair that with their truly appalling away form, and the future doesn’t look too bright for old ‘Arry.
The fact that they’ve already faced the teams in and around them at home, yet are just two points clear of the relegation zone should be a concern for QPR fans dreading swapping pleasant trips to the Emirates and Old Trafford for dark cold drives up to the Reebok Stadium.
Next up for Rangers is a huge six-pointer away to Burnley, before a visit from Manchester United and a trip to the Britannia to face Stoke rounds off January.
A couple of bad results would see QPR’s relegation odds sliced, so with a tough second half to the season coming up, now’s the time to get on if you think Rangers are for the drop.